Market Rasen
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Starts in
2h 49min
Turf track
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
The market has made him favourite at 3.15, yet this horse has never won in 18 career races — the joint-worst win record in the field — with just one placed finish to show for all those efforts. He also carries a rating 10 points below the field average, meaning the handicapper currently thinks less of him than most rivals here. The public support is a genuine puzzle based on what the data shows.
Market favourite (3.15)
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TrackLab Insight
The most experienced runner in the field with 36 career races, and he genuinely likes normal ground — winning around 1 in 6 times on it, which is a solid record. However, his last two runs produced a ninth and a fourth, and he's never won on a right-handed galloping track like Market Rasen from six attempts. That's a significant red flag for today.
One of the more successful in the field (3 career wins)
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TrackLab Insight
Second in the market at 6.5 despite having never won or even placed across five career races — that's a puzzling price for a horse that has finished fourth at best. The jockey has never ridden this horse before, which adds another unknown. Until Sledgehammer shows it can finish in the first three, the market support is hard to justify on the evidence available.
2nd in the market (6.5)
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TrackLab Insight
Comes into this race in the best recent form of any runner — a win at Fakenham five weeks ago followed by a third just 11 days back suggests this horse is firmly in its groove. Wearing cheekpieces and suited by distances of 2 miles and beyond, this trip plays to his strengths. The one flag is a blank record on left-handed sharp tracks, and Market Rasen fits that profile.
2nd in the market (6.5)
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TrackLab Insight
The course specialist in this field: three wins from 11 races at Market Rasen, which is the best course record of any runner here, winning roughly 1 in every 4 times he turns up at this track. He was third here just 36 days ago, so he knows the place well and arrives in fair recent form. Wearing a visor and with a jockey who knows him well, he's a serious each-way consideration.
Has won over this course and distance
Best record at this trip (2 from 8)
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TrackLab Insight
The most compelling case on paper: the only horse in the field to have won over this exact course and distance, and he wins roughly 1 in 4 races on normal ground — the best ground record in the field. He also carries the best career win rate here at around 1 in 7. The worry is his last two runs at Hexham were both heavy defeats, so he needs to show he's bounced back from those.
Has won over this course and distance
Best record on this ground (4 from 17)
Best career win rate in field (1 in 7)
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TrackLab Insight
The editorial pick despite drifting dramatically in the market — currently 12/1 despite carrying the joint-highest rating in the field. He's been placed in more than half his career races and won twice from 17 outings, and a run just 19 days ago means he's race-fit. The big concern is that fourth at Stratford last time out was well beaten, so he'll need to step up sharply.
Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
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TrackLab Insight
Carries the lowest weight and the lowest rating in the field — 19 points below the average — and races again just six days after finishing seventh at Stratford. One win from 24 career races, a win rate of roughly 1 in 24, makes this the hardest horse to back with any confidence. The rapid turnaround and the weight of evidence both point in the same direction: this looks a tough assignment.
Lowest rated, 18lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
Runs again after just 6 days
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How do odds work?
The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.
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