Won 1 of last 5Loves this ground (25% win rate)Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite and one of the two highest-rated horses in the race, Special John wins roughly 1 in every 4 outings — the best win rate in this field. Was beaten a whisker last time out at Fontwell and won the race before that, so the form is pointing the right way. The big question is whether the market knows something: the odds have drifted sharply from what would have been a very short price.
Best record on this ground (1 from 4)Best career win rate in field (1 in 4)Market favourite (3.8)
Wearing blinkersWon 2 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The youngest in the field at six and arriving on the back of three straight top-three finishes, including back-to-back wins — that's the hottest recent form in this race. He's never won here before, but his consistency on normal ground is solid and he carries less weight than the top two in the ratings. A young, improving horse with momentum is always worth respecting.
3 straight top-3 finishes
Trainer Quotes
Mar 2026
"He's bouncing around the place and will be ready in about two weeks. There's a nice 0-100 novice handicap chase at Newcastle and I know it's a long way to travel there from our base in Wales, but we think he can win it. He'll take a lot of beating in it. 26-03-26"
R. McLernon
·
J. & A.J. O'Neill
· 8yo
· 12st 1lb
· OR 111
HeadgearForm
15
Wearing blinkersWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Our selection and the second-highest rated horse here, Yes Day leads our own ratings by seven pounds over the rest of this field — a significant edge on paper. The worry is a record of zero wins from nine races on left-handed tracks that tend to spread the field out, and this is exactly that kind of course. Wearing blinkers to sharpen focus, but the recent form includes a pulled-up run and a distant third, so it needs to bounce back.
2nd highest rated (OR 111)
Trainer Quotes
Nov 2025
"He probably would have won at Ludlow on his comeback when he fell four out, and got tapped for speed last time at Wetherby. He's one for the regional nationals providing he gets decent enough ground. 18-11-25"
Wearing visorFresh (70 days off)Won 1 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Has the best record of any horse here over this trip of three miles, and that distance experience matters in a stamina test like this. The concern is a 70-day absence and a distant fourth last time out, so he arrives here short of match practice and not in the sharpest form. Worth keeping an eye on if conditions play to his strengths, but there are question marks.
Best record at this trip (1 from 3)
Trainer Quotes
Nov 2025
"He ran well at Hereford on his last run. He suffers from stomach ulcers, but we seem to have got on top of those now. He's put two good runs together now and, on the back of his third last time out, he should be winning again soon. When he goes and wins, he looks impressive, like at Ascot and Chepstow. It's just trying to get him back in that top form, but he seems to be getting there. 12-11-25"
The lowest-rated horse in the race, sitting 15 pounds below the field average, and still looking for a first win from three career outings. Carries the lightest weight in the field, which helps, but the jockey-trainer partnership has yet to win together from 13 attempts, which adds another layer of doubt. Finishing in the top three twice does show the horse is trying, but this looks a tough step up.
Lowest rated, 15lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in fieldLightly raced (3 career races)
Won at this course & distanceWon 1 of last 5Won here 4 timesHas won on this groundWon at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
The only horse in this field to have won at Market Rasen, and he's done it four times here — no one else can claim that kind of course knowledge. At 11 years old he's the most experienced runner by some distance, with 42 races under his belt, and he's run over this course and distance before. His recent form has been modest, but every time he lines up here you have to take him seriously.
Only course winner (4 from 21 here)Has won over this course and distance
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
The most lightly raced horse in the field with just one career run to their name — a 12th-place finish here at Market Rasen just 13 days ago. That's a tough introduction, and turning it around this quickly against more experienced rivals makes this a very difficult ask. The data simply isn't there to build a case, and honesty demands saying so.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.