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Bath

·
Elite Racing Club Handicap Stakes (Div I)
Starts in
28h 19min
Flat race · weights set to make it fair About 1 mile Good ground Grassroots race 14 runners £3,454 prize money
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

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40%+ Very strong chance 20–39% Strong chance 12–19% Solid chance 6–11% Could surprise Under 6% Long shot How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance, as a percentage. The scores in a race add up to 100%.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in a place. It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.08 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • Has raced 6 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
  • The Good ground works in this horse's favour. The ground makes a big difference in racing, and today it helps.
  • B. Llewellyn wins only 4.8% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.08 back.

How odds work
Won 1 of last 5 Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • Racing against weaker rivals than last time. Think of a Premier League team playing in the Championship. The drop in level helps.
  • M. Pattinson wins only 7.1% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.08 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • Dropped to an easier race today. It is like being the big fish in a smaller pond. The lower standard should suit.
  • D. Ffrench Davis has a 4.8% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.08 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Won 1 of last 5 Won at this distance 2 times
Why this score
  • A low win rate on this ground from 4 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
  • F. Marsh wins 11.6% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
  • 14 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.08 back.

How odds work
Back after 65 days off Won 1 of last 5 Has won on this ground Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • O. Haines has a good 20% record here. Knowing the course is one of a jockey's biggest strengths.
  • G. Baker has won 11.7% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
  • 14 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.08 back.

How odds work
Wearing visor Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • K. Fox has won 9.1% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
  • Came 13th in the last race. It might have been an off day, or the horse may be losing form.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.08 back.

How odds work
Wearing blinkers Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before Has won on this ground Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • Racing against weaker rivals than last time. Think of a Premier League team playing in the Championship. The drop in level helps.
  • A low win rate on this ground from 6 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
  • 14 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.08 back.

How odds work
Wearing visor Won 0 of last 5 Won here 2 times Likes this ground (wins 25% of runs)
Why this score
  • There is £3,454 in prize money in this race. That attracts good horses, and this one looks to belong among them.
  • J. Scott wins 13.2% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
  • With an average finish of 3.3 lately, recent results are poor. This horse needs to improve.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.08 back.

How odds work
Wearing blinkers Back quickly after its last run Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • There is £3,454 in prize money in this race. That attracts good horses, and this one looks to belong among them.
  • A 6.1% record at this course for G. & Josh Moore. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.08 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Back after 357 days off Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • A low win rate on this ground from 3 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
  • A. Redman has a good 50% record here. Knowing the course is one of a jockey's biggest strengths.
  • This is a 14-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.08 back.

How odds work
Wearing tongue strap Won 0 of last 5 Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • This type of ground has not suited the horse: 8 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
  • The Good ground works in this horse's favour. The ground makes a big difference in racing, and today it helps.
  • B. Llewellyn has a 4.8% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.08 back.

How odds work
Wearing blinkers Back after 62 days off Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before Won at this distance 2 times
Why this score
  • Set to carry 121 lbs. In racing every pound counts, and this horse is not carrying too much.
  • A 5.4% overall win rate for W. Cox. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
  • A 14-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.08 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before Has won on this ground
Why this score
  • Has not won at this distance before. We do not know if the race length suits the horse.
  • A. Wintle wins 14.6% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
  • This is a 14-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.08 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • Has raced 5 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
  • With an average finish of 4.7 in recent runs, this horse keeps finishing close to the front. It would not need much luck to win.
  • 14 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
More at Bath tomorrow ?