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Sceptic

Sceptic is a 6-year-old with a straightforward record: five wins from 37 races, which works out to winning roughly one in every seven attempts. That is honest rather than spectacular, but the horse is still actively racing and showed recent form by winning at Kempton Park three months ago. After racing just yesterday, Sceptic is clearly a regular competitor, the kind of dependable runner that fills out racecards week after week.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
No Nay Never
Mother
Aljaazya
Owner
Ian Williams
Official rating
58

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
37
Career races
5
Wins
13.5%
Win rate
avg ~10%
21.6%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
64 days
Since last race

🏁 Next race

Tomorrow
Bath
About 1 mile · Good ground · 14 runners

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The real story is where this horse shines. Over distances of seven furlongs to a mile, Sceptic has won 2 of 9 races—a 22% win rate, nearly double his overall record. At the lower levels of Class 6 racing, the horse has also won 2 of 9 starts at the same 22% rate. This is Sceptic's sweet spot: medium distance, modest company. Put the horse on a course suited to seven furlongs or a mile, pitch it against Class 6 opposition, and the odds improve noticeably. Ian Williams trains from Portway in Worcestershire, a yard that has sent out 96 winners this season, so Sceptic sits within a productive operation. The horse's breakthrough came at Lingfield Park in March 2023, and the form has remained consistent enough to keep Sceptic racing through the summer of 2026. Recent runs have been mixed—a 5-5-9-1-2-5 line—which suggests the horse is searching for another race, having not won since Kempton three months back. At this level, that is not unusual. Sceptic is the sort of horse that wins when conditions line up: the right distance, the right class, and a day when form peaks. For a horse approaching middle age in racing terms, that is a respectable niche.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on standard_to_slow ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
✔ Well suited by 7f – 1m distances: 22% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
⚠ Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Loves
Standard (all-weather)
Good (a little give)
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Avoids
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
7F – 1M
Loves
1M1F – 1M2F
Long Distance (2M+)
Unknown
1M3F – 1M4F
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Class 4 (standard)
Class 5 (entry-level)
Avoids
Class 6 (grassroots)
Loves
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, tight turns
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
15 Aug
5th
Lingfield Park
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 8 runners
18 Jul
5th
Nottingham
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 6 runners
14 Jun
9th
Doncaster
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 18 runners
6 May
🏆 Won
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard_To_Slow · 9 runners
18 Apr
2nd
Nottingham
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 10 runners
30 Mar
5th
Wolverhampton
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 11 runners
20 Mar
4th
Wolverhampton
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 11 runners
28 Feb
DNF
Southwell
7f – 1m · Standard · 31 runners
17 Feb
7th
Wolverhampton
1m1f – 1m2f · 10 runners
4 Feb
12th
Kempton Park
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard_To_Slow · 13 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
Ryan Kavanagh Current jockey
25%
Win rate
1/4
Wins / rides
25%
Win rate
1/4
Wins / rides
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Wins / rides
50%
Win rate
1/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
Toby Moore(3)
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Mr James Hills
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Wolverhampton
Galloping
9 2 wins, 7 other 30 Mar 22.2%
Kempton Park
Galloping
3 1 win, 2 other 6 May 33.3%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
3 1 win, 2 other 15 Aug 33.3%
Southwell
Galloping
3 3 other 28 Feb 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
2 1 win, 1 other 23 Jun 50%
Newmarket
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 12 Aug 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 18 Jul 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 23 May 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
2 2 other 14 Jun 0%
Leicester
Sharp
2 2 other 17 Jul 0%
Chepstow
Galloping
1 1 other 16 Jun 0%
chelmsford 1 1 other 12 Oct 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
1 1 other 1 Jan 0%
York
Galloping
1 1 other 27 May 0%
Great Yarmouth
Galloping
1 1 other 20 Sep 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
1 1 other 8 Jul 0%
Fakenham
Tight
1 1 other 15 Mar 0%