Bath
·
Elite Racing Club Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)
Starts in
26h 46min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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40%+ Very strong chance
20–39% Strong chance
12–19% Solid chance
6–11% Could surprise
Under 6% Long shot
How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance, as a percentage. The scores in a race add up to 100%.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in a place. It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.08 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 19.7% overall win rate for W. Haggas. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- W. Haggas has a good 19.6% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
- The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.08 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- C. Hills wins 13.0% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- C. Hills wins 13% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- R. Hornby has a 9.1% win rate at this course. They have not had much luck here. Knowing the track helps, and that is missing.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.08 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- The Good ground works in this horse's favour. The ground makes a big difference in racing, and today it helps.
- D. Coakley has a good 12.3% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
- The official rating suggests this horse has work to do. Lower-rated horses need to improve to win.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.08 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- A. Balding wins 14.4% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- A 15.0% record at this course for A. Balding. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.08 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 28.6% win rate at this course for H. Charlton. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- H. Charlton wins 14.5% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- The official rating suggests this horse has work to do. Lower-rated horses need to improve to win.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.08 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- An 8.0% overall win rate for W. Carson. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- 20 days since the last run. That is a usual break, so there is nothing to read into it.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.08 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- An 8.0% overall win rate for J. Portman. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- J. Portman wins only 11.7% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.08 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 9.9% overall win rate for C. Bishop. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- E. Johnson Houghton wins 10.7% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- E. Johnson Houghton has an 11.5% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.08 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- E. Walker wins 14.0% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- With an 11.8% win rate overall, K. Shoemark is one of the more dependable riders.
- 11 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.08 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 9.7% overall win rate for D. Evans. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- With an 11.6% win rate overall, F. Marsh is one of the more dependable riders.
- This is an 11-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.08 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- S. Mark Prescott Bt has a good 28.1% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
- A 19.8% overall win rate for S. Mark Prescott Bt. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- Came 12th in the last race. It might have been an off day, or the horse may be losing form.