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Bath

·
Elite Racing Club Handicap (Div 2)
Starts in
28h 51min
Flat race · weights set to make it fair About 1 mile Unknown Grassroots race 14 runners £3,454 prize money
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

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40%+ Very strong chance 20–39% Strong chance 12–19% Solid chance 6–11% Could surprise Under 6% Long shot How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance, as a percentage. The scores in a race add up to 100%.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in a place. It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.08 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5 Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • A prize fund of £3,454 is healthy. When trainers aim at valuable races, they usually have faith in their runner.
  • Has an average of Class 6 in past races. Today's level should not be a shock.
  • B. Llewellyn has a 4.8% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.08 back.

How odds work
Has won at this course and distance Won 1 of last 5 Won here 10 times Won at this distance 2 times
Why this score
  • Has won 10 times at this course from 37 runs. A horse that has won here before may like the course.
  • Dropped to an easier race today. It is like being the big fish in a smaller pond. The lower standard should suit.
  • A. Wintle wins 8% of their races overall. That is below the top trainers.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.08 back.

How odds work
Won 1 of last 5
Why this score
  • Facing weaker rivals than last time out. When a horse drops to an easier race, it often finds things easier.
  • With £3,454 in prize money, this is a competitive race. The horse has been entered for a reason.
  • H. Main has a 6.2% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.08 back.

How odds work
Wearing hood Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • With an 11.6% win rate overall, F. Marsh is one of the more dependable riders.
  • Racing against weaker rivals than last time. Think of a Premier League team playing in the Championship. The drop in level helps.
  • 14 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.08 back.

How odds work
Wearing visor Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • Racing against weaker rivals than last time. Think of a Premier League team playing in the Championship. The drop in level helps.
  • With a 13.2% win rate overall, T. Marquand is one of the more dependable riders.
  • J. Gallagher has a 5.1% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.08 back.

How odds work
Wearing hood Back after 63 days off Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • An 11.8% overall win rate for K. Shoemark. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
  • No wins at this distance yet. We cannot tell if the race is too long, too short or just right.
  • A 14-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.08 back.

How odds work
Wearing blinkers Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • With a 9.9% win rate overall, C. Bishop is one of the more dependable riders.
  • An experienced horse with 49 career runs. Experienced horses tend to be steadier and less likely to run badly.
  • P. Chamings wins only 5.1% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.08 back.

How odds work
Wearing visor Won 1 of last 5
Why this score
  • Dropped to an easier race today. It is like being the big fish in a smaller pond. The lower standard should suit.
  • Finished 1st in the last race, which is a good result. A good last run suggests the horse is in good shape.
  • A 4.8% record at this course for B. Llewellyn. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.08 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • Racing against weaker rivals than last time. Think of a Premier League team playing in the Championship. The drop in level helps.
  • G. & Josh Moore has won 11.9% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
  • A 6.1% record at this course for G. & Josh Moore. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.08 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Won 0 of last 5 Won here 1 time
Why this score
  • With a 12.5% win rate overall, S. Osborne is one of the more dependable riders.
  • Has not won at this distance before. We do not know if the race length suits the horse.
  • The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.08 back.

How odds work
Has won at this course and distance Wearing blinkers Won 0 of last 5 Won here 1 time Won at this distance 2 times
Why this score
  • An experienced horse with 52 career runs. Experienced horses tend to be steadier and less likely to run badly.
  • Has won 1 time at this course from 13 runs. A horse that has won here before may like the course.
  • A 2.4% career win rate for B. Murphy. That is below the top trainers.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.08 back.

How odds work
Has won at this course and distance Wearing cheekpieces Won 0 of last 5 Won here 2 times Won at this distance 2 times
Why this score
  • Has won 2 times over this distance. That is a good sign the race length suits the horse.
  • An average finish of 4.7 over the last three races. Finishing near the front this often is a good sign.
  • R. Harris wins 3.9% of their races overall. That is below the top trainers.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.08 back.

How odds work
Has won at this course and distance Back after 110 days off Won 0 of last 5 Won here 1 time Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • An 8.9% overall win rate for J. Gordon. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
  • A weight of 121 lbs is manageable. A lighter load helps in the closing stages.
  • 14 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.08 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Back after 173 days off Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • Has not raced for 173 days. That is a long time away, and we cannot be sure the horse will be fit enough.
  • C. Hutchinson has won 10.2% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
  • This is a 14-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
More at Bath tomorrow ?