Bath
·
Djsn Ltd Handicap Stakes
Starts in
27h 49min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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40%+ Very strong chance
20–39% Strong chance
12–19% Solid chance
6–11% Could surprise
Under 6% Long shot
How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance, as a percentage. The scores in a race add up to 100%.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in a place. It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
Why this score
- Wins 22% of the time on this type of ground. Some horses run much better on soft or firm ground. This one suits today's ground.
- Dropped to an easier race today. It is like being the big fish in a smaller pond. The lower standard should suit.
- Starting from stall 9, which is not ideal. A bad starting stall can mean running extra ground or getting boxed in.
Why this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- An 11.8% overall win rate for K. Shoemark. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- 44 days since the last run. That is a usual break, so there is nothing to read into it.
Why this score
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 7 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- S. Levey wins 11.6% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- Has had 27 days off since its last race. That is a routine gap that should not help or hurt.
Why this score
- Has not won at this distance before. We do not know if the race length suits the horse.
- G. Baker has won 11.7% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- 1m may not be the right distance. Distance is one of the basics, and this one is a worry.
Why this score
- S. Osborne wins 12.5% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- Dropped to an easier race today. It is like being the big fish in a smaller pond. The lower standard should suit.
- A 4% record at this course for T. Ward. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Why this score
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 3 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- F. Marsh wins 11.6% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- Came 13th in the last race. It might have been an off day, or the horse may be losing form.
Why this score
- A 9-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- Has won 1 time over this distance. That is a good sign the race length suits the horse.
- Today's race is over 1m. The distance may not be ideal. If it does not suit, the horse has to fight the race.
Why this score
- O. Cole has a good 33.3% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
- Wins 33% of the time on this type of ground. Some horses run much better on soft or firm ground. This one suits today's ground.
- Today's race is over 1m. The distance may not be ideal. If it does not suit, the horse has to fight the race.
Why this score
- 1 win from 2 runs at this track. When a horse likes a course, it often runs well there again.
- A 12.3% overall win rate for R. Hannon. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- Starting from stall 6 does not help today. The starting position matters more than many people think.