Ascot
·
Savills Handicap
Awaiting result
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
Why this score
- Wins 20% of the time on this type of ground. Some horses run much better on soft or firm ground. This one suits today's ground.
- 3 runs here without a win. That counts against the horse. The track layout may not suit it.
- 24 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
The highest-rated horse in the field at 8lbs above the field average, which sounds impressive — but his last three runs have produced finishes of 11th, 11th, and 7th, including an 11th here at Ascot just 20 days ago. On paper he has the most ability, but he hasn't shown it recently and that's a concern in a competitive 24-runner race.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
Why this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- 1 win from 1 run at this track. When a horse likes a course, it often runs well there again.
- A 24-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
The only horse in this field to have won at Ascot, which is a genuine edge in a 24-runner race — course form matters. The problem is his two most recent runs produced a 9th and an 8th, so he's clearly not at his best right now. If he can recapture the form that won here 63 days ago, he's interesting; if not, that course win may be doing a lot of the heavy lifting.
Only course winner (1 from 1 here)
Why this score
- Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
Won at Goodwood just 33 days ago, which looks great on paper, but a 19th place finish here at Ascot only 20 days ago tells a very different story — he went from winner to nearly last in one run. He also has no wins on normal or fast dry ground across six attempts, which is a real concern given today's dry conditions.
3 straight top-3 finishes
Why this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- Finishing 3rd last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
- 24 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Won at Newmarket 55 days ago and was beaten by a whisker into third there just 15 days ago, so he arrives bang in form. He's won on normal ground conditions before, which is relevant on a dry Ascot track. The jockey-trainer combination have only teamed up once before — a winner — which is a small but positive note.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
Why this score
- Has raced here 1 time without winning. This course has not suited the horse so far.
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- This is a 24-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
The best record at this exact trip in the field, winning 2 from 3 races over six furlongs, and was beaten by just under a third of a length into second at Newmarket yesterday — so he arrives here having raced just one day ago, which is an unusually quick turnaround. If he's recovered quickly, his distance form is hard to argue with; the question is whether running two days in a row leaves its mark.
Best record at this trip (2 from 3)
Why this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- With a 10.9% win rate overall, R. Dawson is one of the more dependable riders.
- M. Appleby wins only 7.4% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Five career wins is one of the better tallies in the field, but three of those came at Kempton on artificial ground — he has no wins on fast dry ground in three attempts, and today's conditions are dry. He finished second at Windsor 11 days ago which shows he's in decent shape, but the surface here looks like it works against him.
One of the more successful in the field (5 career wins)
Why this score
- Has run 1 time at this track with no wins yet. Some horses do not take to some courses.
- A 33% win rate on this ground from 3 runs. Just like people, horses have favourite surfaces. This one likes today's ground.
- This is a 24-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Four wins from 15 races is a solid record, but he has never won on a right-handed galloping track in five attempts — Ascot is exactly that. His last run here 22 days ago has no finishing position recorded, so it's hard to read much into recent Ascot form. The track profile looks like a genuine obstacle for him.
Among the more experienced (15 career races)
1
King Of Light
This horse runs well on today's ground
6
Why this score
- This horse runs well on today's ground, with a 20% win rate from 5 runs. The ground makes a big difference in racing.
- Has run 3 times at this track with no wins yet. Some horses do not take to some courses.
- A 4.4% record at this course for S. Williams. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Won at Windsor just 11 days ago and is rated 4lbs above the field average, making him one of the better-credentialed horses here. He wins roughly 1 in every 4 or 5 races and has placed in 2 of his last 3, so he arrives in solid form. A quick turnaround after a recent win can sometimes catch horses short, but right now he looks like one to beat.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
Why this score
- There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
TrackLab Insight
Only three races into his career, so there's very little to go on — but one of those three produced a win, and he was second in his most recent run 53 days ago. Crucially, he has never raced on dry ground before, so nobody knows how he'll handle today's conditions. Dropping down in class is a positive, but the lack of relevant experience makes him hard to assess.
Drops 2 classes from usual level
Never raced on dry ground
Lightly raced (3 career races)
Why this score
- There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
TrackLab Insight
Won twice at Lingfield in quick succession, but those wins came on artificial ground — he has never won on artificial surfaces and has only 1 win from 14 attempts on right-handed galloping tracks, which is exactly the kind of course Ascot is. At seven years old with 34 career races, this is a well-travelled horse, but his record at this type of venue counts against him.
One of the more successful in the field (5 career wins)
Why this score
- Has raced here 1 time without winning. This course has not suited the horse so far.
- Wins 29% of the time on this type of ground. Some horses run much better on soft or firm ground. This one suits today's ground.
- A 24-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Trained by William Haggas, one of the most successful trainers in Britain, and has finished in the places in more than half his 15 career races. He was 7th at Salisbury 10 days ago and 7th here at Ascot 70 days ago, so Ascot form exists but didn't sparkle. His win at Yarmouth in between shows the ability is there on his day.
Among the more experienced (15 career races)
Why this score
- Has raced 4 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- 2 runs here without a win. That counts against the horse. The track layout may not suit it.
- J. Camacho has a 7.4% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
The record is hard to look past: just 1 win from 17 races, and his last six runs read 10-6-4-7-15-18 — a horse going the wrong way. He has no wins on normal or fast dry ground across nine attempts combined, and today's conditions are dry. The experience is there, but little else points his way.
Among the more experienced (17 career races)
Why this score
- Has won over this distance 2 times. We know the horse can last this far, which removes one big question.
- Finished 2nd in the last race, which is a good result. A good last run suggests the horse is in good shape.
- 24 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Three wins from nine races at just three years old is a strong return, and he has won 2 from 4 specifically on dry conditions — the best dry-ground record of any horse in the field. He was beaten by a fraction into second at Epsom only 9 days ago, so he's in excellent form and the conditions look ideal for him.
Best record on this ground (2 from 4)
3 straight top-3 finishes
Why this score
- Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
Wins almost 1 in 3 races across his career — 4 from 13 — including a top-level Class 1 win at York, which puts him in rare company in this field. His last three runs have been poor (5th, 16th, 11th), and he has no wins in wetter conditions, though today is dry. There's a horse in here capable of much better; whether it turns up is the question.
No clear distinguishing angle in this field
Why this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- Has won over this distance 1 time. We know the horse can last this far, which removes one big question.
- A 7.4% record at this course for H. Palmer. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Won a Class 2 race at York in August, which is a high-quality win for a three-year-old, and was only a length behind in 4th at Chester 13 days ago. She's placed in 6 of her 10 career races, which shows she finds a way to be competitive more often than not. Jockey Jamie Spencer is an experienced pair of hands in a big field.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
Why this score
- Has won 1 time over this distance. That is a good sign the race length suits the horse.
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- A 6.2% record at this course for J. Owen. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
The best career win rate in the entire field — 2 wins from just 5 races, meaning he wins 2 in every 5 he enters, a figure none of his 23 rivals can match. He's only three years old and still very lightly raced, so there may be more to come. His last run was a 9th at Doncaster 35 days ago, but with so few races it's hard to read too much into one disappointing effort.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 2)
Why this score
- Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
Won at Windsor 25 days ago and has an excellent record on fast dry ground — 3 wins from 7 races in those conditions, which is the best ground conversion rate among his rivals today given the dry surface at Ascot. The flip side is he has zero wins from 7 attempts on normal ground, so everything hinges on just how dry the track plays. Conditions look like they could suit.
Among the more experienced (15 career races)
Why this score
- E. Greatrex wins 12.5% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- This is a 24-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Only 1 win from 14 races, and the data shows no wins on normal ground across four attempts and none on artificial ground across five — the win at Windsor came in conditions not replicated here. He has also never won on a left-handed galloping track in seven attempts, and while Ascot is right-handed, his overall profile is thin. Hard to find a strong angle for him.
No clear distinguishing angle in this field
Why this score
- The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the race hasn't worked at Ascot — he's never won here in seven attempts, and has no wins at all on right-handed galloping tracks from nine tries. His last six runs read 5-8-5-5-6-8, and two wins from 28 career races tells its own story. Hard to make a case for him here.
Among the more experienced (28 career races)
Why this score
- Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
Wins 1 in 3 races and has three consecutive top-three finishes, including a win at Kempton 30 days ago — she arrives in the best form of her young career. Her win rate over this exact distance is 50%, the joint-best in the field alongside Amazing Journey. The step up from Kempton to a 24-runner Ascot race is a big one, but her recent form is hard to dismiss.
3 straight top-3 finishes
Why this score
- Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
Forty-three races is more experience than almost anyone in this field, but 4 wins from those 43 outings — roughly 1 in 10 — tells you this is a horse that competes more than it wins. He has no wins on normal or fast dry ground across 18 combined attempts, and today's dry Ascot is exactly what his record suggests doesn't suit him.
Among the more experienced (43 career races)
Why this score
- 1 win at this race length. Distance matters. If it is too short, the horse cannot use its staying power. If it is too long, the horse gets tired.
- P. Dobbs wins 11.0% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- R. Hannon has a 7.2% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Carries the lowest weight in the field, which in a race like this is an advantage worth noting — lighter weight means a smaller burden over six furlongs. She was a respectable 4th at Newmarket 20 days ago, beaten less than three lengths, and has won on fast dry ground before. Her overall record is modest, but the low weight and recent solid run give her a small foothold here.
Carries lowest weight in field
Why this score
- There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field by some distance — 53 races compared to a field average of 16 — but at nine years old, age and a 15-length defeat here at Ascot just 9 days ago are hard to ignore. He has never won on right-handed galloping tracks in 11 attempts, and Ascot is exactly that. Two weeks ago he was second here, but last week he was hammered; the inconsistency is a worry.
Most experienced (53 runs, field avg 16)
Why this score
- Rated 12.5 points above the average for this race. A horse rated above its rivals has an edge.
- Finished 1st in the last race, which is a good result. A good last run suggests the horse is in good shape.
- O. Cole has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
The lowest-rated horse in the field by some margin — 12lbs below the field average — and has never raced on dry ground before, so today's conditions are completely unknown territory. He won at Kempton just 8 days ago, which is a positive, but his two runs before that produced an 11th and a 5th. Too many unknowns against more proven rivals.
Lowest rated, 12lbs below average
Never raced on dry ground
Lightly raced (3 career races)