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Juan Les Pins

Juan Les Pins is a horse still climbing. At nine years old, he has won 8 of his 57 races—a win rate of roughly 1 in every 7 starts—and he continues to race actively, with his latest outing just yesterday. His record suggests a campaigner who finds his races carefully, wins when conditions align, and rarely finishes far out of the placings. He has picked up 24 places across his career, a sign of genuine consistency rather than a flash of early talent.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
9 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Invincible Spirit
Mother
Miss Cap Ferrat
Owner
Matthew Taylor
Official rating
75

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
57
Career races
8
Wins
14.0%
Win rate
avg ~10%
42.1%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
6 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

His most recent victory came this week at Newcastle on 12 October 2026, and his form over the past month shows a horse still competing at a respectable level. After winning four days ago, he finished third then sixth, ninth and third again before that latest win—the kind of rollercoaster a mid-career horse experiences when dropped in and out of different races.

The real story is what he does on fast, dry ground. On those surfaces, Juan Les Pins wins roughly 1 in every 3 races—he has 4 wins from 12 attempts on firm conditions—a striking contrast to his overall record. His trainer, Michael Appleby at Oakham in Rutland, acquired him as a purchase out of a lower-level race at Redcar in 2022 and has overseen steady improvement ever since. The horse started off rated 72 and has climbed to 93, and Appleby describes him as a joy to train whose improvement has been swift. A third-place finish in the prestigious Ayr Gold Cup showed smart form, and the trainer was pleased with how he came through the winter and suggested there was still room for him to improve.

Alistair Rawlinson has been his regular jockey, though their win rate together sits at 10 percent—2 wins from 21 races—which may partly reflect that the horse thrives on specific ground conditions that don't always come around. What matters is that Juan Les Pins keeps finding winners, keeps showing up, and on the right day and track, remains capable of justifying his the yard' faith.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 4 wins from 12 starts (33%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on standard_to_slow ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
⚠ Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
⚠ Yet to win at Southwell in 6 attempts
⚠ Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 12 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Loves
Good (a little give)
Standard (all-weather)
Ok
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Avoids
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
5F – 6½F
7F – 1M
Ok
1M6F – 2M
Unknown
Sprint (< 5F)
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 1 (elite)
Avoids
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Loves
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Loves
Class 6 (grassroots)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
12 Oct
🏆 Won
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 13 runners
26 Sep
3rd
Southwell
Sprint (< 5f) · Standard · 10 runners
22 Aug
6th
Newmarket
5f – 6½f · Good · 13 runners
11 Jul
16th
York
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 20 runners
1 Jul
9th
Thirsk
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 11 runners
9 May
2nd
Ascot
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 19 runners
17 Apr
3rd
Newbury
5f – 6½f · Good · 16 runners
10 Apr
🏆 Won
Thirsk
5f – 6½f · Good · 16 runners
29 Mar
2nd
Doncaster
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 18 runners
19 Mar
🏆 Won
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 7 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
9.5%
Win rate
2/21
Wins / rides
12.5%
Win rate
1/8
Wins / rides
25%
Win rate
1/4
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/4
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/4
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
Mason Paetel(3) Current jockey
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
Paul Hanagan
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Newcastle
Galloping
11 2 wins, 1 second, 1 third, 7 other 12 Oct 18.2%
Southwell
Galloping
6 1 second, 2 thirds, 3 other 26 Sep 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
4 1 win, 1 second, 2 other 29 Mar 25%
Ascot
Galloping
4 1 second, 1 third, 2 other 9 May 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
4 1 third, 3 other 22 Aug 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
4 1 third, 3 other 2 Oct 0%
York
Galloping
4 1 second, 1 third, 2 other 11 Jul 0%
Newbury
Galloping
3 1 win, 1 third, 1 other 17 Apr 33.3%
Thirsk
Galloping
3 1 win, 2 other 1 Jul 33.3%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
3 1 second, 1 third, 1 other 30 May 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
2 2 wins 15 Jun 100%
Redcar
Galloping
1 1 win 17 Jun 100%
Leicester
Sharp
1 1 other 1 Apr 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 other 5 Jul 0%
Ayr
Galloping
1 1 third 17 Sep 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
1 1 other 5 Aug 0%
Chepstow
Galloping
1 1 other 7 Aug 0%
Salisbury
Undulating
1 1 other 20 Apr 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
1 1 other 16 Mar 0%
chelmsford 1 1 other 2 Dec 0%