Wolverhampton
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Starts in
1h 39min
Tapeta surface
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 3/1
£1 wins £3 · 22 Strong chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A low win rate on this ground from 3 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- Results are getting better with each run. A horse on the way up has a good chance of a win soon.
- G. Keane has a 5.7% overall win rate, which is on the low side. That may mean the horse is not at its best.
TrackLab Insight
He has finished in the top 3 in 2 of his last 3 races on paper, but those were at Irish tracks and he arrives after a poor run at the Curragh; his struggles on standard ground (0 wins from 3) are another red flag on this surface.
Top-3 finishes in 2 of last 3 races
22
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.33 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- R. Carr wins 9.9% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
- J. Sullivan wins 7.1% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- Today's ground is Standard, and that is not ideal. A horse on the wrong ground can run much worse.
TrackLab Insight
Invincible Crown is a Wolverhampton specialist with 3 wins from 8 here and boasts an excellent 33% win rate on standard ground—ideal for this surface—plus a win just 24 days ago at Newcastle. He's running only 7 days after finishing second at Musselburgh, so freshness is no issue, but the tight turnaround and his poor record on good-to-firm ground (0 from 11) are factors. His low draw in stall 2 (mid range) is neutral for course bias.
Course specialist (3 wins from 8 here)
Best record on this ground (5 from 15)
Runs again after just 7 days
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Facing weaker rivals than last time out. When a horse drops to an easier race, it often finds things easier.
- O. Murphy has a good 22.7% record here. Knowing the course is one of a jockey's biggest strengths.
- D. Evans has a 4.6% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Little Jaybee is the market favourite at 4/1 and carries an Underrated label, with a strong course record of 2 wins from 5 at Wolverhampton and 2 wins overall from 15 races. She steps up two classes here and won at this track 34 days ago, showing she can perform in this grade, but a seventh-place finish at Bath 11 days ago suggests recent form is mixed. Her 29% win rate on standard ground is her strongest asset on this surface, but back-to-back class jumps in quick succession carries risk.
Steps up 2 classes
Course specialist (2 wins from 5 here)
Market favourite (4/1)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A low win rate on this ground from 24 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- A. Brittain has a good 9.5% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
- This horse is not suited by Standard ground. The ground can change a horse's chances a lot.
TrackLab Insight
Blue Force owns the best win rate in the field at roughly 1 in 6 races across 29 outings, and he's run 18 days ago at Newcastle where he finished second. However, his recent form is patchy—only one win in his last nine races—and he's drifted from 1/12 to 15/2, suggesting the market has moved against him. He needs a good pace to exploit his ability, but there's no guarantee the race will be run to suit.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 6)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Racing against weaker rivals than last time. Think of a Premier League team playing in the Championship. The drop in level helps.
- A low win rate on this ground from 18 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- C. Hobson has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
General Assembly has won 4 of his 12 races at five furlongs—the best win rate at this specific distance—and finished fourth just 16 days ago at Southwell, so recent work is done. However, he carries a serious weakness on standard ground (0 wins from 4 starts), which directly undermines his chances here, and a recent eighth-place finish at this very track 42 days ago is not encouraging. His draw in stall 1 (low stalls at 16% win rate) is the only minor positive.
Best record at this trip (4 from 12)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Racing against weaker rivals than last time. Think of a Premier League team playing in the Championship. The drop in level helps.
- A prize fund of £3,245 is healthy. When trainers aim at valuable races, they usually have faith in their runner.
- G. Harris has a 5.2% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Sheik Yerbouti broke through for his first career win at this exact track just 17 days ago, stepping up two classes like several others in the field. That breakthrough matters—it proves he can win when conditions align—but with just 1 win from 7 races overall, he remains largely unproven at this level. His 25% win rate on standard ground is encouraging, and the recent success is real, but racing off a short turnaround after proving ability once is always a different ask.
Steps up 2 classes
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £19.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- Has raced here 1 time without winning. This course has not suited the horse so far.
- C. Mason's horses finish only 15% of their races. A low number can point to fitness or preparation problems.
TrackLab Insight
Alkuwarrior steps up two classes here after finishing third at Brighton 13 days ago, but the Editorial verdict backing him sits oddly against his form. He's won just twice in 18 races and has never won on good ground or at right-hand tight tracks like Wolverhampton—a serious concern given this is a right-hand course. The drift from 1/12 to 19/1 reflects market doubt, and his draw in stall 8 (high stalls average just 8% win rate here) compounds the headwinds.
Steps up 2 classes
7
Rogue de Vega
£1 wins £33 · 1 Long shot
This type of ground has not suited the horse
1
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £34.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 26 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- A. Brittain has a good 9.5% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
- A 5.5% career win rate for C. Hardie. That is on the low side and could matter today.
TrackLab Insight
Rogue De Vega is a Wolverhampton specialist with an outstanding 50% win rate here (4 wins from 8), and he arrives off a 265-day absence after three consecutive wins at this track. His record at this distance is solid and his jockey-trainer combo is established, but the long layoff is a major question mark—no other runner in the field has been absent for close to that length of time. His poor record on standard-to-slow ground (0 from 3) is another concern on this surface.
Course specialist (4 wins from 8 here)
3 straight top-3 finishes
Absent 265 days (longest in field)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £51.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has won 8 times over this distance. That is a good sign the race length suits the horse.
- With £3,245 in prize money, this is a competitive race. The horse has been entered for a reason.
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 41 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
TrackLab Insight
Basholo is a Wolverhampton course specialist with 6 wins from 28 races here, a standout record, but her recent form is weak—two consecutive sixth-place finishes at this track over the last 34 days and nothing but low placings in her last six races. She carries a critical weakness on standard-to-slow ground (0 wins from 5), which applies directly here, and at 7 years old with 57 career races she may be approaching the end of her useful life. The 20/1 odds reflect a horse in decline.
One of few course winners (6 wins here)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £126.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has raced 4 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- Racing against weaker rivals than last time. Think of a Premier League team playing in the Championship. The drop in level helps.
- Today's ground is Standard, and that is not ideal. A horse on the wrong ground can run much worse.
TrackLab Insight
Caitlin G is a 3-year-old with a thin record of just 1 win from 14 races (7% win rate) and has run just 5 days ago, finishing eighth at Nottingham. She carries the worst handicap rating in the field but also the weakest form, with an absence of any top-3 finishes in her last six races and a persistent inability to win on standard ground (0 from 4). Her high draw in stall 11 works against her on a course where high stalls rarely win.
Runs again after just 5 days
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £51.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 43 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- With £3,245 in prize money, this is a competitive race. The horse has been entered for a reason.
- A low win rate on this ground from 43 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
TrackLab Insight
Banana is the lowest-rated horse in the field and has won just 2 of her 64 races (3% win rate), a record that top-3 finishes her among the weakest in the race. At 7 years old she carries the lightest weight (116lbs) and remains most experienced, but both wins came nearly two years ago and she carries a devastating 0-from-36 record at Wolverhampton specifically. Her poor record on standard ground (0 from 43) makes this surface a graveyard; the 40/1 odds are realistic.
Lowest rated, 12lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
Most experienced (64 runs, field avg 29)