Wolverhampton
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Race And Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Conditions Stakes (GBB Race)
Starts in
4h 54min
Tapeta surface
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
Our top pick for this race
Very strong chance
Odds 11/8
£1 wins £1.38 · 42 Very strong chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £2.38 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- O. Murphy has a good 22.7% record here. Knowing the course is one of a jockey's biggest strengths.
- A 17.1% overall win rate for O. Murphy. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- The Standard ground does not suit this horse. The wrong ground can turn a contender into an also-ran.
TrackLab Insight
Meydaan is the shortest price in the field and rated 11 pounds clear of the second-best horse on our analysis, with three straight top-3 finishes at Meydan last winter — though notably he hasn't raced for 233 days, longer than any other runner here. The worry is his complete absence of wins on faster ground (0 from 5) and on right-handed galloping tracks (0 from 5), which means this Wolverhampton surface and layout present a genuine test of whether his Meydan form translates elsewhere.
Top rated by 11lbs
3 straight top-3 finishes
Absent 233 days (longest in field)
Market favourite (6/5)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.25 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 6-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- C. Appleby wins 26.1% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- Today's ground is Standard, and that is not ideal. A horse on the wrong ground can run much worse.
TrackLab Insight
Al Zanati has never raced on normal ground, which is a critical gap in his form profile; he won his sole career victory on good-to-firm turf at Newmarket just three months ago and has since finished fifth and sixth on different surfaces. At three years old with only five races under his belt, this Wolverhampton test on an unfamiliar surface asks real questions of a horse still learning his trade.
Never raced on normal ground
£1 wins £7.50 · 12 Solid chance
This is a 6-runner race, and the size suits this horse
12
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This is a 6-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- A 25.4% win rate at this course for J. & Thady Gosden. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- This horse is not suited by Standard ground. The ground can change a horse's chances a lot.
TrackLab Insight
Morris Dancer holds the best win rate in the field (roughly 1 in 4 races) and carries the second-highest rating, but like several rivals, he has never raced on normal ground — his two wins have come on faster surfaces. His recent form has deteriorated sharply (sixth at Windsor 42 days ago, seventh at Newmarket before that), and at 11/1, the gap between his best efforts and current trajectory is widening.
Never raced on normal ground
Best career win rate in field (1 in 4)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 6-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- J. Owen has a good 19.3% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
- This horse is not suited by Standard ground. The ground can change a horse's chances a lot.
TrackLab Insight
Asmen Warrior has never raced on normal ground, which is a significant uncertainty for this Wolverhampton assignment — his two career wins have come on faster surfaces where he holds a 25% win rate. He arrives with fresh legs after 23 days off and carries a jockey-trainer combination with zero history together, adding to the unknowns in a field where the data suggests he has plenty to find on the ratings.
Never raced on normal ground
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £10.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This is a 6-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- No wins at this distance yet. We cannot tell if the race is too long, too short or just right.
- Today's ground is Standard, and that is not ideal. A horse on the wrong ground can run much worse.
TrackLab Insight
Treble Tee has never raced on normal ground and arrives sharply out of form after finishing fifth, beaten over 20 lengths, at Goodwood just 26 days ago — his worst recent effort by some distance. The gap between his last win (116 days ago at Newcastle) and this assignment is telling, and without ground-form data on standard conditions, he represents a significant query at 17/1.
Never raced on normal ground
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £34.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This is a 6-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 3 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- The Standard ground does not suit this horse. The wrong ground can turn a contender into an also-ran.
TrackLab Insight
Telemark is one of the most successful horses here by win count (five career victories) but shows stark inconsistency with ground: he has won twice on soft and twice on fast ground, yet zero wins from 6 races on normal or good conditions. At 40/1, he also hasn't raced in 233 days and arrives with a poor recent run at Meydan (beaten nearly 10 lengths), making him a risky proposition despite his higher win rate overall.
One of the more successful in the field (5 career wins)