Wolverhampton
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Cavani Best Dressed Handicap Stakes
Starts in
5h 24min
Tapeta surface
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
15
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 13.8% win rate at this course for R. & Peter Fahey. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- Its average finish over the last three runs is 2.7. That is steady. Horses that finish near the front often do so again.
- A 13-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite at 5/1 has beaten opponents by razor-thin margins in his last two starts—second by 0.5 lengths, second by 0.3 lengths at Ripon—which speaks to competitive ability but also to an inability to get over the line. Crucially, he has never raced on normal ground before, making this his first experience of the surface, and has won just once in seven races overall.
Never raced on normal ground
Market favourite (5/1)
£1 wins £5 · 13 Solid chance
Handles this ground well, with 33% of its races won on it
13
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Handles this ground well, with 33% of its races won on it. The ground can change a horse's chances a lot.
- An 11.5% win rate at this course for D. O'Meara. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- 13 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
The editorial pick sits in the middle of the pack on Wolverhampton's track (draw 8, a soft spot for winners here) but recent form is patchy—three consecutive defeats by 3–6 lengths suggest the engine has stalled. Still, a 19% career win rate and solid record on standard ground are genuine positives, though the drift from 1/12 to 7/1 hints at market doubt about his current condition.
Among the fancied runners (7/1)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Wins 45% of the time on this type of ground. Some horses run much better on soft or firm ground. This one suits today's ground.
- R. Hughes has a good 16.5% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
- A 13-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
This horse carries a valuable label and the form backs it: three top-3 finishes in a row, including a win here at Wolverhampton earlier in the year, and a stunning 45% win rate on standard ground (5 from 11 starts). The high draw (9) is a minor concern and racing again after just five days is a risk, but his course form and ground-specific record are genuinely compelling.
Best record on this ground (5 from 11)
3 straight top-3 finishes
Runs again after just 5 days
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- A 20.6% win rate at this course for S. & Ed Crisford. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- This is a 13-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
This three-year-old filly has won two of four races at six furlongs, a strong recommendation for the trip, but she has not found the winner's enclosure in 14 months and recent form reads mixed—fourth, second, fourth, 11th, 12th, fourth. The poor draw (13) compounds a form picture that suggests she runs well but rarely wins.
Best record at this trip (2 from 4)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Wins 25% of the time on this type of ground. Some horses run much better on soft or firm ground. This one suits today's ground.
- Dropped to an easier race today. It is like being the big fish in a smaller pond. The lower standard should suit.
- 13 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
This four-year-old has been absent for 196 days—the longest layoff in the field—and even before that absence, form was ordinary (6th and 7th at Wolverhampton six months ago). A 15% career win rate and modest recent record offer little encouragement, though he does have a solid win rate on standard ground when he does race.
Absent 196 days (longest in field)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- R. Cowell has won 10.0% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- This is a 13-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
The editorial verdict rates him just two pounds below Dark Cloud Rising, yet his form tells a far grimmer story: only 2 wins from 27 races (7% win rate), zero wins in the last three years, and his last three outings have all finished ninth. Low draw (4) is a positive and he has shown glimpses on soft or good-to-firm ground, but backing form is almost non-existent.
Among the more experienced (27 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £13.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- I. Williams has a good 25% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
- Handles this ground well, with 33% of its races won on it. The ground can change a horse's chances a lot.
- 13 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
This four-year-old owns a Class 2 win at Goodwood from August 2024, proof he can beat good horses, but that remains his only bright spot—since then, 13 races with just one top-3 finish (3rd at Redcar in summer). The low draw (1) is unhelpful, recent form includes an eighth-place finish 14 days ago, and this is a jockey-trainer pairing meeting for the first time.
Top-3 finishes in 2 of last 3 races
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £13.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This horse runs well on today's ground, with a 33% win rate from 9 runs. The ground makes a big difference in racing.
- W. Knight has won 11.4% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- M. Ghiani has a 12.8% win rate at this course. They have not had much luck here. Knowing the track helps, and that is missing.
TrackLab Insight
At 52 races, this seven-year-old is the most seasoned runner in the field and recently won twice at Class 2 level at Windsor, proof of real ability. However, recent outings have been disappointing—11th at Ascot just 16 days ago—and the low draw (2) offers little help at a track that favours higher numbers. Form elsewhere has been solid, but a win here is not a natural progression.
Most experienced (52 runs, field avg 23)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £15.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This horse runs well on today's ground, with a 29% win rate from 14 runs. The ground makes a big difference in racing.
- 4 wins at this race length. Distance matters. If it is too short, the horse cannot use its staying power. If it is too long, the horse gets tired.
- The Standard ground does not suit this horse. The wrong ground can turn a contender into an also-ran.
TrackLab Insight
A 21% career win rate across 33 races marks him as a genuine campaigner, and he has shown real spark on good-to-firm ground (33% record), but there is a significant problem: his most recent run at Wolverhampton 14 days ago is listed as unknown, making form impossible to assess. Before that, results were mixed, and he has never raced on soft ground without a loss.
Among the more experienced (33 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £15.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- C. Dwyer has a good 13.3% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
- H. Davies has won 12.3% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- Carrying 10.2 lbs more than the average for this race. That makes winning harder.
TrackLab Insight
This four-year-old has won twice in his last six races, including a Wolverhampton victory just 17 days ago, and carries the lowest weight (122 lbs) while racing two classes below his usual level—a significant advantage. The draw (10) is favourable and three top-3 finishes in a row show genuine momentum, making him the most in-form horse in the field.
Lowest rated, 10lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
Drops 2 classes from usual level
3 straight top-3 finishes
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £13.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 3 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- A 14.4% overall win rate for A. Balding. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- 13 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
This three-year-old has been off the track for four months and shows a puzzling profile: one win and three top-3 finishes from five races sounds promising, but his last three starts include a 22nd-place finish by 20 lengths at York just 128 days ago. The three top-3 finishes are now ancient history, and a long absence with a jockey-trainer combination meeting for the first time raises questions.
3 straight top-3 finishes
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £34.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- R. Hannon has a good 13.2% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
- Has won here 1 time in 1 visit. That record at this course is a good sign.
- This horse is not suited by Standard ground. The ground can change a horse's chances a lot.
TrackLab Insight
This three-year-old filly boasts the best win rate in the field at 27% (3 wins from 11 races) and picked up a victory at Goodwood just 129 days ago, but she has been off since and her jockey-trainer combo has never won together. More concerning: she has no wins on good ground (0 from 3) and the form either side of that Goodwood win was undistinguished.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 4)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £21.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has won over this distance 6 times. We know the horse can last this far, which removes one big question.
- Rated 8.5 points above the average for this race. A horse rated above its rivals has an edge.
- G. Mangan has an 8% win rate at this course. They have not had much luck here. Knowing the track helps, and that is missing.
TrackLab Insight
This six-year-old mare has a respectable 22% win rate and holds a Wolverhampton course record of 2 wins from 6 starts, a genuine plus. However, recent outings show 6th, 3rd, and 2nd finishes—consistent top-3 work but no victories—and her poor record on good-to-firm ground (2 from 19) could be relevant depending on how the tapeta races.
Course specialist (2 wins from 6 here)