Wolverhampton
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Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes
Starts in
29h 33min
Tapeta surface
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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40%+ Very strong chance
20–39% Strong chance
12–19% Solid chance
6–11% Could surprise
Under 6% Long shot
How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance, as a percentage. The scores in a race add up to 100%.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in a place. It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
Why this score
- R. Varian wins 25.1% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
- A 16.9% win rate at this course for J. Mitchell. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
- Today's ground is Standard, and that is not ideal. A horse on the wrong ground can run much worse.
Why this score
- A 19.2% win rate at this course for J. Tate. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- C. Lee wins 12.9% of their races at this course. Knowing the track is an advantage for any jockey.
- Today's ground is Standard, and that is not ideal. A horse on the wrong ground can run much worse.
Why this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- A. Watson has won 14.9% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- Only 8th last time out. That is not what we want to see before today's race.
Why this score
- O. Sangster wins 17.3% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
- This horse runs well on today's ground, with a 40% win rate from 5 runs. The ground makes a big difference in racing.
- The Standard ground does not suit this horse. The wrong ground can turn a contender into an also-ran.
Why this score
- J. Chapple-Hyam wins 10.6% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- With a 12.3% win rate overall, H. Davies is one of the more dependable riders.
- The Standard ground does not suit this horse. The wrong ground can turn a contender into an also-ran.
Why this score
- A 10.6% win rate at this course for D. Swift. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
- Has not won at this distance before. We do not know if the race length suits the horse.
- The Standard ground does not suit this horse. The wrong ground can turn a contender into an also-ran.
7
Star of Commala
1 run here without a win. That counts against the horse
8%
Why this score
- 1 run here without a win. That counts against the horse. The track layout may not suit it.
- M. Keegan-Price has a good 100% record here. Knowing the course is one of a jockey's biggest strengths.
- 12 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
Why this score
- A 17% win rate at this course for G. Boughey. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- O. Murphy has won 17.1% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- This horse is not suited by Standard ground. The ground can change a horse's chances a lot.
Why this score
- Has won 5 times over this distance. That is a good sign the race length suits the horse.
- Finishing 1st last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
- A 7f race raises questions. If it is too long or too short for the horse, that hurts its chances.
Why this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- 1 run here without a win. That counts against the horse. The track layout may not suit it.
- J. Doughty has an 8.8% win rate at this course. They have not had much luck here. Knowing the track helps, and that is missing.
Why this score
- M. Ghiani has won 13.9% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- A 19.8% overall win rate for S. Mark Prescott Bt. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- Today's ground is Standard, and that is not ideal. A horse on the wrong ground can run much worse.
Why this score
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 5 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- There is £5,234 in prize money in this race. That attracts good horses, and this one looks to belong among them.
- A 6.7% record at this course for G. Harker. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.