Bint Al Daar

The most striking fact is Bint Al Daar's record at Newmarket, where it has won 2 of its 4 races there. That 50 percent win rate at one track is the kind of edge that makes a horse worth following. It also strongly prefers normal ground conditions, winning 3 of 18 races (17 percent) when the track is neither too wet nor too firm. The sweet spot appears to be races at distances between one mile one and one mile two furlongs, where it has won 3 of 17 races (18 percent). Put those factors together — Newmarket, normal ground, the right distance — and Bint Al Daar becomes a horse with real potential.

The recent picture is less encouraging. The horse hasn't won in its last 6 races, though it did place fourth and eighth in that stretch. Its last victory came at Southwell on 4 March, nearly seven months ago. It typically races at Class 4 level, where it has won 2 of 13 races. Trained by Kevin and Lauren Frost at Averham Park in Nottinghamshire, Bint Al Daar remains active and was back out racing just a day ago. For anyone interested in following a course specialist, Newmarket on normal ground is where to watch.