Newbury
·
D&H Racing Stakes (Listed Race) (Registered As The Radley Stakes)
Starts in
14h 57min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 14.0% overall win rate for E. Walker. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- K. Shoemark has won 11.8% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.
TrackLab Insight
The favourite at 1/10 but faces a serious unknown: she's never raced on wet ground and has lost her last three races, including two heavy defeats at bigger tracks. Her 25% career win rate looks solid on paper, but recent form suggests she's struggling to find her feet at this level.
Never raced on wet ground
Market favourite (1/10)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 14.7% win rate at this course for T. Marquand. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
- W. Haggas wins 19.7% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- With £25,520 in prize money, this is a lower-level race. That sometimes means the horse has struggled in better races.
TrackLab Insight
This filly sits at the top of the field by rating and has just won two races in quick succession—at Haydock and Ayr—suggesting she's in the form of her life. Her 40% career win rate is the best claim here, though wet ground is a complete unknown as she's never tested it.
3 straight top-3 finishes
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- An average finish of 2.3 over the last three races. Finishing near the front this often is a good sign.
- Has had 49 days off since its last race. That is a routine gap that should not help or hurt.
TrackLab Insight
The lowest-rated horse in the field by some margin and has been away for over two months, but showed enough last time out to finish just half a length away in third at Epsom. She suits 7-furlong distances and has a track record of finishing in the money, though wet ground hasn't favoured her before.
Top-3 finishes in 2 of last 3 races
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- C. Clover has a good 33.3% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
- S. Osborne has won 12.4% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- A 7f race raises questions. If it is too long or too short for the horse, that hurts its chances.
TrackLab Insight
The stand-out performer on current form: three wins from six races (50% win rate, best in the field) and has won two of her last three starts, including at Goodwood just 31 days ago. The unknown is wet ground—she's never raced on it, and that becomes the main question mark here.
Never raced on wet ground
3 straight top-3 finishes
Best career win rate in field (1 in 2)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- K. R. Burke wins 12.2% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- Finishing 1st last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
- K. R. Burke wins only 8.8% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
A one-race wonder with a perfect debut win at Haydock, but that's the entire story so far—minimal data to suggest where this horse belongs in a competitive field. Wet ground is untested and the long absence since early racing means plenty of uncertainty.
Never raced on wet ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
£1 wins 10p · 10 Could surprise
C. Keane has won 14.6% of their races in their career
10
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- C. Keane has won 14.6% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- J. & Thady Gosden has won 21.5% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- J. & Thady Gosden has a 16.7% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Rated at 88 with an impressive career record of two wins from three races (67% win rate), but her last start tells a different story: 8th place at Newmarket just 29 days ago, beaten six lengths. Wet ground remains untested and the recent slump raises questions about current form.
Never raced on wet ground
Lightly raced (3 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- G. Wood has won 9.8% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- R. Millman has won 9.6% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- R. Millman wins only 7.2% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Rated highest by the handicapper at 87 but has taken a heavy tumble: 14th place at Goodwood just 31 days ago, beaten over 14 lengths. She's also never raced on wet ground, and her single win came on fast, dry conditions where she showed a 33% win rate—the opposite of what's needed here.
Never raced on wet ground
£1 wins 10p · 9 Could surprise
A 28.6% win rate at this course for B. Ffrench Davis
9
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 28.6% win rate at this course for B. Ffrench Davis. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
- Came home 2nd last time out. A good recent run often carries over to the next race.
- D. Ffrench Davis wins 6.7% of their races overall. That is below the top trainers.
TrackLab Insight
Only one race under her belt—a second-place finish just 10 days ago at Kempton—which makes her the least experienced here by far. She'll be finding her feet against horses with multiple races, and wet ground is completely untested territory.
Never raced on wet ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Finishing 1st last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
- The trainer's record at this course is a plus. Knowing a track helps with getting the horse ready.
- D. McLoughlin wins 7.8% of their races overall. That is below the top trainers.
TrackLab Insight
Just two races in and she's won one of them—a 50% win rate that stands out—but the form is inconsistent: a win at Navan three weeks ago followed by a bigger run at Naas where she finished 6th. She's never raced on wet ground and draws in stall 1, though low draws have only a 11% win rate here historically.
Never raced on wet ground
Lightly raced (2 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 13.1% overall win rate for R. Hughes. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- F. Marsh has won 11.6% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- A 6.8% record at this course for R. Hughes. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
The highest-rated horse here at 89, but she's racing poorly of late with a 4th place her best effort in the past three outings, all of which came on faster ground. Wet conditions are untested and form suggests she's struggling to stay competitive against this field.
Never raced on wet ground
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.