Musselburgh
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Celebrating The Musselburgh Festival 2026 Handicap Stakes
Awaiting result
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Why this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- Has run 2 times at this track with no wins yet. Some horses do not take to some courses.
- A 6.5% career win rate for K. Scott. That is below the top trainers.
TrackLab Insight
A horse that keeps getting close without quite winning — just one victory from 17 races, but placed in two of its last three, including a near-miss at this very course 45 days ago, beaten just a whisker. Dry conditions are the concern here: Black Storm has a solid record on normal ground but has never won when conditions are firm and fast, and today's dry track puts that weakness in the spotlight.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
Why this score
- With a 7.8% win rate overall, T. Eaves is one of the more dependable riders.
- T. Eaves has a good 10.2% record here. Knowing the course is one of a jockey's biggest strengths.
- Stepping up to a harder race today. As with any step up, the question is whether the horse is good enough for this level.
TrackLab Insight
Her best results have come on fast, dry ground — one win from four races in those conditions — and today's dry track is exactly what she wants. She finished third at Thirsk 20 days ago and has a solid record over seven furlongs specifically, making her one of the more quietly interesting runners in the bottom half of the market.
Best record at this trip (1 from 5)
Why this score
- Has won 8 times over this distance. That is a good sign the race length suits the horse.
- A prize fund of £4,187 is healthy. When trainers aim at valuable races, they usually have faith in their runner.
- Has won here 3 times in 11 visits. That record at this course is a good sign.
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field by a huge margin — 77 races at eight years old — but he ran yesterday and has been finishing in the lower half of fields consistently in recent outings. He is also rated 7 pounds below the field average, the lowest official rating here, and while he has a strong record at Musselburgh historically, his current form makes it hard to be enthusiastic.
Lowest rated, 6lbs below average
Most experienced (77 runs, field avg 28)
Runs again after just 1 days
Why this score
- Has raced 5 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- With a 10.7% win rate overall, D. Allan is one of the more dependable riders.
- A 4.9% record at this course for L. Perratt. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Raced yesterday and finished eighth, beaten nearly 14 lengths — and the run before that was an 11th. This horse has three wins at Musselburgh from 12 races here, which is an excellent record, but right now it looks badly out of form and the fact it is running again after just one day raises real questions.
Runs again after just 1 days
Why this score
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 7 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- There is £4,187 in prize money in this race. That attracts good horses, and this one looks to belong among them.
- M. & David Easterby wins only 7.1% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
The standout course specialist in this field — two wins from five races at Musselburgh, and he arrives here having won here just 29 days ago, which is a powerful combination. The big worry is that his record away from genuinely good ground is poor, and today's dry conditions don't obviously match what this eight-year-old has done his best work on.
Course specialist (2 wins from 5 here)
Why this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
TrackLab Insight
Five races in, still no win, but four placings including three consecutive runner-up or third-place finishes at Catterick — she is clearly consistent and competitive. The catch is that she steps up two class levels today compared to those recent efforts, and she has never raced at Musselburgh, making this a genuine leap into the unknown.
Steps up 2 classes
3 straight top-3 finishes
Why this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
A three-year-old who is starting to put some decent form together — one win and a second place in recent weeks, beaten just a length last time out at Catterick. He is joint-highest rated among the three-year-olds in this field, and while he is new to Musselburgh, his recent consistency makes him one of the more interesting younger horses in the line-up.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
Why this score
- There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
TrackLab Insight
Hard to know what to make of him after finishing 11th at York last time out, beaten nearly 24 lengths — that came after winning at Leicester, so the form bounces around. He has his best win record on fast, dry ground, which suits today, but he has never won on normal conditions and Musselburgh is a new course for him.
Best record on this ground (1 from 3)
Why this score
- There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
TrackLab Insight
Never raced on dry ground in his career — that is the single most important fact about No Return today, and it makes him genuinely hard to assess for this race. He has been finishing fifth or lower in every run recently, and his record on tracks with a similar layout to Musselburgh is poor, so there are question marks stacking up.
Never raced on dry ground
Why this score
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 3 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
No wins from 11 races, but the last two runs tell an interesting story — beaten just a third of a length at Carlisle and beaten the same margin here at Musselburgh 29 days ago. He carries the lowest weight in the field today, which is an advantage in a race like this, and his recent form over this exact course and distance is the most encouraging of any winless horse in the line-up.
Carries lowest weight in field
Why this score
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 3 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse here by some distance — 71 races, 12 wins, and he wins roughly 1 in every 6, which is the best career win rate in this field. He won at Ayr 32 days ago but was then tailed off in 10th last time out, so his form is patchy, and he carries the highest weight in the race, which works against him.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 6)