Musselburgh
·
Ocean Scotland Outdoor Advertising Nursery Handicap Stakes
Awaiting result
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
18+ | Gamble responsibly: BeGambleAware.org Ad: we earn commission if you join a bookmaker via our links.
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Why this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- A 6-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- A 12.8% record at this course for T. Waggott. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
With only three races under her belt, Bea Kindly is one of the least experienced horses in this field. Her two visible finishes were a sixth and a ninth, both beaten by comfortable margins, so she hasn't shown much yet — and the jockey-trainer partnership that saddles her wins roughly 1 in 18 races together, which is a thin record to lean on.
Lightly raced (3 career races)
Why this score
- 6 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- Has raced here 1 time without winning. This course has not suited the horse so far.
- Has not finished well in the last few races. Finishing in the middle or further back so often counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Like Claret And Blues, Stripes Of Glory has never raced on dry ground before, so today's conditions are uncharted territory for her. She did race at this same Musselburgh course 86 days ago and finished seventh, which at least means the track holds no mysteries — but the experienced jockey-trainer partnership of David Allan and Tim Easterby, who win together roughly 1 in every 10 races from a huge number of runs, gives her a professional team to make the most of whatever ability she has.
Never raced on dry ground
Lightly raced (3 career races)
Why this score
- This is a 6-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- A prize fund of £3,664 is healthy. When trainers aim at valuable races, they usually have faith in their runner.
- O. Pears has a 14.6% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
The standout marker here is puzzling: Enemy Action is listed as making a racecourse debut, yet the form figures show three previous races including a third-place finish. What's clear is that this is a lightly raced two-year-old who is joint top-rated alongside Claret And Blues but has yet to win in any of those outings.
Racecourse debut
Why this score
- A 6-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
TrackLab Insight
Claret And Blues has never raced on dry ground like today's conditions, which is a genuine unknown heading into this race. He's one of the joint top-rated horses in the field, but four runs without a win — including back-to-back sixth-place finishes — make it hard to know where the improvement comes from.
Never raced on dry ground
Why this score
- A 6-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
Lairy Mary stands out as the only horse in this field to have won at today's distance of five furlongs — a big advantage in a race where not all rivals have proven they stay or excel at the trip. She also has the best win rate in the field, winning roughly 1 in every 6 races, and her record on fast, dry ground like today reads one win from three tries, which is comfortably the strongest conditions profile here.
Only winner at this distance
Best record at this trip (1 from 4)
Best career win rate in field (1 in 6)
Why this score
- This is a 6-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
Mr Darling carries the lowest weight in the field and is rated a full 10lbs below the field average — a significant gap that tells you the official assessors don't hold him in high regard right now. His last three finishes have all been sixth place, beaten by wide margins, so he needs to find something he hasn't shown before to feature here.
Lowest rated, 10lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field