Leopardstown
·
Bahrain Turf Club October Handicap
Starts in
5h 30min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
18+ | Gamble responsibly: BeGambleAware.org Ad: we earn commission if you join a bookmaker via our links.
40%+ Very strong chance
20–39% Strong chance
12–19% Solid chance
6–11% Could surprise
Under 6% Long shot
How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance, as a percentage. The scores in a race add up to 100%.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in a place. It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 3/1
£1 wins £3 · 23% chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A low win rate on this ground from 3 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- D. Browne McMonagle wins 13.3% of their races at this course. Knowing the track is an advantage for any jockey.
- 17 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Market favourite at 9/2 but form has turned sour—two successive sixth-place finishes at Curragh in the last five weeks suggest the wheels are coming off. Sky Captain has won only once in six races and has never won on good, fast ground, which is what he'll face today; he needs better going and looks vulnerable here.
Market favourite (9/2)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- D. K. Weld has a good 16.9% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
- Came home 1st last time out. A good recent run often carries over to the next race.
- This is a 17-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Standout form: three straight wins or top-3 finishes capped by victories at Listowel and Navan, giving this three-year-old a remarkable 40% win rate from five races—the best in the field. Marked as underrated at 7/1; consistent in the money and proven on the track, though he hasn't yet raced on normal ground like today's conditions.
3 straight top-3 finishes
Best career win rate in field (1 in 2)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £10.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 20% win rate on this ground from 5 runs. Just like people, horses have favourite surfaces. This one likes today's ground.
- Has yet to win over this distance. It is like asking a sprinter to run a marathon. Distance matters, and this horse has not shown it can win here.
- This is a 17-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Three straight top-3 finishes but the most recent of those—a 14th at Leopardstown 36 days ago—tells a different story than the win at Fairyhouse four months back. Wins roughly one in eight races and is well suited by 1m6f–2m (50% win rate), yet recent form is not convincing and he has yet to win on yielding ground.
3 straight top-3 finishes
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- The Good ground works in this horse's favour. The ground makes a big difference in racing, and today it helps.
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 6 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- A 6.2% record at this course for M. C. Grassick. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
The only course winner in this field, having taken a race at Leopardstown in May, though that victory now sits four months in the past. Sixth at this track just 36 days ago suggests he may not be thriving here; wins roughly one in six races overall and is well suited by the 1m4f distance, yet recent form does not inspire confidence.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- An 11.0% overall win rate for J. P. Murtagh. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- A 17-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Young three-year-old on an upward curve with one win and three top-3 finishes from four races (25% win rate), though only one of his last three runs has hit the top three. Ran fifth at Killarney just 13 days ago, which shows he is being raced regularly; the editorial team sees progressive form here, and at 8/1 there is room to work with.
Top-3 finishes in 2 of last 3 races
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £10.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Finishing 3rd last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
- N. Meade has won 13.0% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- A 17-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Just ran three days ago and finished third at Naas, now asked to turn around and run again at 8/1. The four-year-old wins roughly one in seven races but transforms when the distance hits 1m3f–1m4f (67% win rate); today's 1m4f suits that profile, yet the quick turnaround and poor record on soft ground are concerns.
Runs again after just 7 days
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £16.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- W. P. Mullins wins 21.6% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- W. P. Mullins wins 21.6% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- A 17-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Has managed just two wins in 24 races (8% win rate) and looked badly out of place at Curragh three weeks ago, beaten by over 40 lengths in last place. A recent third at Leopardstown is the one piece of encouragement, but the form is brittle and the horse has never won on the ground conditions offered today.
Top-3 finishes in 2 of last 3 races
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £13.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This horse is happy on Good ground. When the ground suits, a horse can run to its best.
- 3 runs here without a win. That counts against the horse. The track layout may not suit it.
- K. Thomas Coleman wins only 5.5% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Wins roughly one in four races (24% win rate) and has three straight top-3 finishes, including a win at Sligo two months back. However, the data shows this horse excels on soft or muddy ground where she's won 40% of the time; normal conditions here suit her less well, and she has never won on galloping tracks like Leopardstown.
3 straight top-3 finishes
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £15.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Wins 22% of the time on this type of ground. Some horses run much better on soft or firm ground. This one suits today's ground.
- N. Crosse has won 5.3% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- N. Crosse wins 5.3% of their races overall. That is below the average for professional jockeys.
TrackLab Insight
Recent momentum is genuine: two wins in the last eight weeks at Wexford and Listowel show Game Point is finally stringing results together. Wins roughly one in eight races overall but has a 22% win rate on good ground; however, at 18/1 with only 12% career win rate, consistency remains the question.
Best record on this ground (2 from 9)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- L. McAteer has won 8.0% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- Came home 1st last time out. A good recent run often carries over to the next race.
- A 17-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Just broke through to win at Roscommon six days ago and is asked to run again immediately—a bold ask for a three-year-old with only five career races. Wins roughly one in five (20%) and has never raced on normal ground until today; the breakthrough is real but this is uncharted territory.
Never raced on normal ground
Runs again after just 6 days
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £19.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has won 1 time over this distance. That is a good sign the race length suits the horse.
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- J. G Murphy wins only 5.7% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Won at Leopardstown just 36 days ago and came second at Galway before that, giving him genuine momentum—but then suffered a catastrophic 20th-place defeat at Curragh three weeks back. The inconsistency is troubling; while he wins roughly one in four races, the recent shocker suggests something is amiss.
3 straight top-3 finishes
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £19.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- An experienced horse with 42 career runs. Experienced horses tend to be steadier and less likely to run badly.
- Today's ground is Good, and that suits this horse. Like athletes who prefer one type of surface, horses have favourite ground.
- A 5.9% record at this course for P. Sweeney. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Remarkably, Pillar Of Hope has won twice in the last three weeks—at Down Royal and Roscommon—and now returns after just six days to try again. The eight-year-old wins roughly one in six races overall and has a superb record over 1m6f–2m (43% win rate), but back-to-back victories followed by immediate turnout raises durability questions.
Runs again after just 6 days
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £13.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 22 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- An experienced horse with 74 career runs. Experienced horses tend to be steadier and less likely to run badly.
- P. Magee has a 3.7% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Seven-year-old with 74 races under her belt—far more experienced than any rival—and two recent wins at Bellewstown and Ayr show she is still competitive. Wins roughly one in seven races overall but excels over longer distances (33% win rate at 1m6f–2m); however, she has never won at Leopardstown in six attempts and struggles on good ground with zero wins from such conditions.
Most experienced (74 runs, field avg 20)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £41.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Today's ground is Good, and that suits this horse. Like athletes who prefer one type of surface, horses have favourite ground.
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- A. Lee has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Winless in ten races but has finished in the top 3 five times, suggesting a horse that can run well without breaking through. Yet to win anywhere and showing no sign of a breakthrough; at 100/1 this represents a long shot with minimal evidence of improvement on the horizon.
Top-3 finishes in 2 of last 3 races
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £23.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A. Slattery wins 7.5% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- A. Oliver wins 8.5% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- A 5.4% record at this course for A. Oliver. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Relatively inexperienced three-year-old with just five races and one win to his name; recent form shows three finishes outside the top three, with a sixth at Down Royal 20 days back. Wins roughly one in five races but data is thin; this represents a young horse still finding his feet.
Relatively inexperienced (5 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £41.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A low win rate on this ground from 7 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- An experienced horse with 38 career runs. Experienced horses tend to be steadier and less likely to run badly.
- This is a 17-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Nine-year-old carrying the lowest weight in the field and running just seven days after a second-place finish at Naas—showing she still has racing legs. Wins roughly one in nine races and has never won on good ground or at Leopardstown in multiple attempts; a veteran at the bottom of the weights with only modest form.
Carries lowest weight in field
Runs again after just 7 days