Leopardstown
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Starts in
6h
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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40%+ Very strong chance
20–39% Strong chance
12–19% Solid chance
6–11% Could surprise
Under 6% Long shot
How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance, as a percentage. The scores in a race add up to 100%.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in a place. It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- 1 run here without a win. That counts against the horse. The track layout may not suit it.
- 17 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
A 3-year-old from Aidan O'Brien's yard with only 6 races and no wins, though she finished 2nd at Dundalk just 16 days ago by a margin of 0.3 lengths. The inexperience works both ways: she's unproven, but capable of running close to horses that have raced far more. Recent form is erratic and she carries no obvious edge here.
Relatively inexperienced (6 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A low win rate on this ground from 12 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- Has won at this distance 2 times before. A horse that has shown it can last the trip is a plus.
- A. Slattery wins only 6.8% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Has the best record at this 7-furlong trip with 2 wins from 8 starts, and showed decent promise with a runner-up finish at Listowel just 27 days ago. However, his form has been in decline for 13 months since his last win, and he's yet to win on yielding or heavy ground—a genuine concern given his only top-3 finish recently came on ground that favours his profile.
Best record at this trip (2 from 8)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 15 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- Has raced here 1 time without winning. This course has not suited the horse so far.
- 17 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
A 7-year-old mare chasing a second win for 35 months, with only 2 wins from 35 races (6% win rate). She shows strength on heavy and soft ground but zero wins on good or yielding ground; with normal conditions today, she has little in her favour. Recent form (6th, 14th, 5th) offers no hope of a breakthrough.
Among the more experienced (35 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A low win rate on this ground from 5 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- Has raced here 3 times without winning. This course has not suited the horse so far.
- A 17-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
A 3-year-old filly with zero wins from 13 races but consistently finishing 2nd, 3rd or 4th—an encouraging pattern that shows competitiveness without the breakthrough. Recent form (4th, 4th, 2nd) confirms she belongs in this company. The persistent near-misses suggest she's not far away, though 13 races without a win is a real concern.
Winless from 13 career races
10%
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Handles this ground well, with 20% of its races won on it. The ground can change a horse's chances a lot.
- 2 wins at this race length. Distance matters. If it is too short, the horse cannot use its staying power. If it is too long, the horse gets tired.
- R. O'Sullivan has a 5.4% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Has won over this course and distance, a genuine plus, and rates well on good ground (2 wins from 10 starts). However, she hasn't raced in 59 days and her last three runs—9th at Leopardstown, 5th and 6th elsewhere—show declining form. Most concerning is her zero record on standard ground from 7 attempts, exactly what she faces today.
Has won over this course and distance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £12.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- No wins at this distance yet. We cannot tell if the race is too long, too short or just right.
- D. K. Weld wins 15.6% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- This is a 17-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Three straight top-3 finishes, including a win at Leopardstown 59 days ago, suggest rekindled form going into this race. Drawing in stall 6 is ideal given the low-draw bias at the course, and his 14% win rate from 22 races is solid. The 16th-place finish at Leopardstown 36 days ago is a puzzle that needs explaining.
3 straight top-3 finishes
£1 wins £12 · 7% chance
W. McCreery has won 9.1% of their races in their career
7%
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £13.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- W. McCreery has won 9.1% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- W. J. Lee wins 8.4% of their races at this course. Knowing the track is an advantage for any jockey.
- A 17-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
A 4-year-old filly with just one win from 17 races, returning from a 47-day absence after finishing 3rd at Gowran Park. The data shows thin chances: only 6% win rate across her career, and recent form (3rd, 9th, 7th before that) does not suggest imminent improvement. Draw 1 offers some track advantage but cannot overcome the fundamental form problem.
Mid-range in the market (8/1)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has raced 6 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- Finishing 1st last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
- C. Weld has a 5.6% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Just won at Navan 11 days ago and has the course-specialist profile: 3 wins from 4 races at Navan, a 75% win rate that is rare and genuine. However, she has never won away from Navan and her poor record on good and good-to-firm ground is a serious concern on standard turf. This is a track specialist asked to perform on unfamiliar territory.
One of the more successful in the field (4 career wins)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £19.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has yet to win over this distance. It is like asking a sprinter to run a marathon. Distance matters, and this horse has not shown it can win here.
- A low win rate on this ground from 12 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- W. McCreery has a 7.3% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Rated among the higher echelon in this field but drifted to 20/1, suggesting the market sees something to worry about. She hasn't raced in 27 days and finished 12th last time out by 15.8 lengths at Fairyhouse, a heavy defeat that erases the promise of earlier top-3 finishes at Leopardstown. This is a long way back from form.
Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £11.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A low win rate on this ground from 3 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- Has not won at this distance before. We do not know if the race length suits the horse.
- K. Thomas Coleman has a 5.5% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Winless from 12 races with only 2 minor top-3 finishes across his career, and recent form is alarming: 19th at the Curragh 14 days ago by 23.5 lengths represents a serious loss of form. This is a horse running out of chances and offers little to suggest improvement today.
Winless from 12 career races
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Handles this ground well, with 20% of its races won on it. The ground can change a horse's chances a lot.
- The Good ground works in this horse's favour. The ground makes a big difference in racing, and today it helps.
- A. Slattery has a 6.8% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
A course winner at Leopardstown with genuine credentials on his preferred ground: 20% win rate on good ground and 25% on yielding. However, he has zero wins on standard ground from 4 attempts—a critical weakness on a course where conditions are described as normal today. His recent form (2nd at Down Royal) is respectable but not compelling enough to overcome the ground concern.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has run 2 times at this track with no wins yet. Some horses do not take to some courses.
- Today's ground is Good, and that suits this horse. Like athletes who prefer one type of surface, horses have favourite ground.
- This is a 17-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
The standout on form and record: 3 wins from 15 races (20% win rate, best in the field) and he's won 2 from 8 on normal ground—exactly today's conditions. His recent win at Bellewstown and consistent placing pattern show a horse in rhythm. The 82-day absence from his last race is the only concern, but his career trajectory and ground suitability make him genuinely interesting.
Best record on this ground (2 from 8)
Best career win rate in field (1 in 5)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £19.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 4 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- 2 runs here without a win. That counts against the horse. The track layout may not suit it.
- A 6.8% record at this course for A. Slattery. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Showing genuine improvement with top-3 finishes in 2 of her last 3 races, most recently 3rd at Thurles 10 days ago. She owns 2 wins from 8 races at the 1m1f-1m2f range, but this 7-furlong test is shorter than her ideal trip and she has zero wins on good ground. The recent form momentum is her best asset, but the race setup works against her.
Top-3 finishes in 2 of last 3 races