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Live Tomorrow 45 Results 38

Down Royal

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Eventsec Handicap Hurdle
Starts in
14h 11min
Jumps race · low hurdles · weighted to be fair About 3 miles Slightly soft ground 23 runners £6,000 prize money E/W: also pays on 2nd, 3rd, 4th or 5th, at 1/5 odds
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

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Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.50 back.

How odds work
Back after 386 days off Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before Likes this ground (wins 33% of runs)
Why this score
  • 3m 0½f is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
  • This horse runs well on today's ground, with a 33% win rate from 3 runs. The ground makes a big difference in racing.
  • 23 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite at 7/2 but returning from a 386-day absence—the longest gap in the field—after his October win at Tramore. His record on soft ground is poor (0 from 3), and jumping fitness after such a layoff is a real question mark despite the market's confidence.
Best record on this ground (1 from 3) Absent 386 days (longest in field) Market favourite (7/2)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.00 back.

How odds work
Back quickly after its last run Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • 3m 0½f is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
  • 23 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Second in the market at 11/2 with a near-miss just eight days ago, losing by just half a length at Clonmel. At five years old with zero wins from ten races, he's yet to break through, though two top-3 finishes suggest he's competitive—the soft ground and Down Royal course are both unknowns for him.
2nd in the market (11/2)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Won 1 of last 5
Why this score
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • Today's race is over 3m 0½f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
  • This is a 23-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
A 6-year-old with one win and two top-3 finishes from 11 races, and she's finished in the top 3 in two of her last three outings, suggesting decent form. However, her record on soft ground is blank (0 from 4), which is a serious red flag for today's conditions.
Top-3 finishes in 2 of last 3 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.50 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • 3m 0½f is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • 23 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
The best win rate in the field at roughly 1 in 8 (4 from 30), and he has genuine form on soft ground with a win and place from his recent five starts on it. However, a recent ninth at Bellewstown and the trainer-jockey's mixed record on unfamiliar track types raises questions about consistency.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 8)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £11.00 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • 3m 0½f is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • This is a 23-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
A 6-year-old mare winless from ten races but with two top-3 finishes, including a recent third at Tramore just 22 days ago. She's among the lowest-rated runners here and despite that form line, she lacks the calibre to win a race at this standard.
Top-3 finishes in 2 of last 3 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £13.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • Today's race is over 3m 0½f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • 23 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
A 7-year-old mare with 17 races behind her but just one win, so experience alone won't carry her here. She excels on good ground (17% win rate) but today's soft conditions represent a significant risk, and she's never won on this course type.
Among the more experienced (17 career races)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £13.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • A 25% win rate at this course for B. J Fitzgerald. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
  • 3m 0½f is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
  • 23 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
An 8-year-old with one win in 16 races who's just strung together three top-3 finishes, but there's a critical issue: he's never raced on soft ground, making today a genuine unknown. His decent form line is undermined by the lack of suitability to these conditions.
Never raced on soft ground 3 straight top-3 finishes
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £29.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Back quickly after its last run Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • Today's race is over 3m 0½f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
  • This is a 23-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
A 12-year-old veteran still winless from 11 races despite three straight top-3 finishes, which shows he can run in the placings but the breakthrough has eluded him. A recent heavy 77-length defeat at Clonmel suggests he's vulnerable to faster or fresher types at present.
3 straight top-3 finishes
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.50 back.

How odds work
Won 1 of last 5
Why this score
  • 3m 0½f is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
  • Came home 1st last time out. A good recent run often carries over to the next race.
  • This is a 23-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
An 8-year-old who broke through just 28 days ago at Gowran Park to win, but he's never raced on soft ground and his record on good terrain (25% from 4 starts) won't help him today. The recent success gives him a form line, but the ground and lack of soft-ground experience are real concerns.
Never raced on soft ground
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £11.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • A 3m 0½f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
  • This is a 23-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
A 6-year-old gelding with eleven races and no wins, though two finished in the top 3 finishes show he can run in the frame. Recent form includes a close fourth at Killarney just 26 days ago, but he remains winless and there's no pattern suggesting he'll break through today.
Winless from 11 career races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £15.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing blinkers Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • Today's race is over 3m 0½f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • A 23-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
A 6-year-old with 14 races and no wins, though two finished in the top 3 finishes suggest he can fill minor roles. Recent third at Fairyhouse (25 days ago) is his best bit of form, but he remains winless and hasn't shown the pace needed to break through at this level.
Winless from 14 career races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £23.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing tongue strap Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • Today's race is over 3m 0½f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
  • An official rating of 95 is in this horse's favour. The rating comes from results, and this horse's number looks good.
  • 23 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
A 6-year-old with just four career races and still searching for a first win, though he did finish third at Downpatrick recently. The soft ground is new territory for him—like several here, he's never tackled it before—which compounds the uncertainty.
Never raced on soft ground Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £41.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • 3m 0½f is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • A 23-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
This 5-year-old carries an underrated label and has picked up two top-3 finishes in his last three races, showing a clear upward trend despite six races without a win. His trainer-jockey pairing has a solid record together (13 wins from 163), though soft ground experience is limited.
Top-3 finishes in 2 of last 3 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £29.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before Won at this distance 2 times
Why this score
  • 3m 0½f is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
  • With 40 races behind it, this horse knows what to expect. Experienced runners tend to cope better with pressure.
  • This is a 23-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
At 10 years old with 41 races behind him, this is by far the most experienced horse in the field, and his two wins at this trip distance (3m) stand out. His record on soft ground is respectable (25% from 8 starts), but recent form is patchy and he's 0 from 5 at Down Royal specifically.
Best record at this trip (2 from 6) Most experienced (41 runs, field avg 14)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £29.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • Has raced 4 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
  • A 3m 0½f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
  • A 23-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
A 7-year-old mare winless from 15 races with three top-3 finishes, and her recent form is poor—two ninth-place finishes in her last three outings. The consistent lack of wins combined with modest recent runs make her a clear outsider here.
Winless from 15 career races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £41.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • A low win rate on this ground from 8 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
  • Today's race is over 3m 0½f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
  • A 23-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
An 11-year-old still grinding away with three wins from 35 races, but soft ground has been a persistent problem—he's 0 from 3 on it despite a decent record on good-to-yielding. A recent pull-up at Killarney adds to the concern, even if his rating suggests he might belong in this company.
Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £15.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing tongue strap Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • A 3m 0½f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
  • E. Doyle has not had many runners lately, so their recent form is unclear.
  • This is a 23-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
A 5-year-old winless from four races with no top-3 finishes and crucially, no soft ground experience, making today a significant test in unfamiliar conditions. The recent sixth at Limerick suggests he's not getting the job done against this grade.
Never raced on soft ground
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £19.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • 3m 0½f is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • This is a 23-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
A 6-year-old mare with just eight races and no wins, though she has picked up two top-3 finishes to show some ability. Limited experience combined with a recent sixth at Listowel and no obvious soft-ground credentials make her a long shot.
Relatively inexperienced (8 career races)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £41.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing hood Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • Today's race is over 3m 0½f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
  • A 23-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
An 8-year-old mare winless from six races despite a recent mixed form line (two top-3 finishes in the data doesn't match her form figures). The data inconsistency aside, she's 0 from 2 on soft ground and lacks the quality to win this race.
Top-3 finishes in 2 of last 3 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £41.00 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before Likes this ground (wins 33% of runs) Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • Today's race is over 3m 0½f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
  • Handles this ground well, with 33% of its races won on it. The ground can change a horse's chances a lot.
  • A 23-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
An 8-year-old with two wins from 22 races and a decent record on good-to-yielding and yielding ground. However, soft ground has no wins on her record, and a recent 11th at Limerick signals poor recent form; the trainer-jockey pairing is also unproven together.
Top-3 finishes in 2 of last 3 races
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.

What these words mean

Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
More at Down Royal tomorrow ?