Down Royal
·
Beginners Steeplechase
Starts in
15h 41min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Our top pick for this race
Very strong chance
Odds 5/6
£1 wins 83p · 45 Very strong chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.83 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- G. Elliott has a good 20.8% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
- This horse is suited to this Chase Turf race. A horse in its best type of race can just focus on running.
- 14 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Best win rate in the field at roughly 1 in 2 races, with three wins from six career outings and top-3 finishes in almost all others. However, last raced 202 days ago with form showing a struggle at bigger meetings (10th at Cheltenham, 3rd at Aintree), so the long layoff and softer ground here are genuine concerns despite the impressive overall record.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 2)
£1 wins £2.25 · 22 Strong chance
Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice
22
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.25 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- H. de Bromhead wins 22% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
- A 14-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Only one career British/Irish race with no wins, but won a Grade 3 juvenile hurdle in France before arrival, suggesting quality from a different system. Extreme youth (4 years old) and lack of data make this highly speculative; trainer Henry de Bromhead has an excellent record but cannot overcome the complete inexperience here.
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £11.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- W. P. Mullins has won 21.5% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- 14 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Recent second place at Gowran Park shows this horse is still competitive, but the form is patchy—a fourth before that and long gaps between wins (only one victory in five races). Trained by one of Ireland's leading yards and ridden by a combination with an excellent record together, but the 27-day layoff and lack of consistency make this an uncertain proposition on soft ground.
Top-3 finishes in 2 of last 3 races
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £12.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 20.8% win rate at this course for G. Elliott. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- G. Elliott wins 15.2% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- A 14-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Just three races career with one win (33% win rate) but has never raced on soft ground, making this a complete unknown in these conditions. The 299-day absence is the longest in the field by a significant margin, raising serious questions about match fitness and readiness.
Never raced on soft ground
Lightly raced (3 career races)
Absent 299 days (longest in field)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £19.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- H. de Bromhead has a good 22% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- 14 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Two wins from six races (33% win rate) with recent winning form at Leopardstown 305 days ago and a top-3 finish in the last race 233 days ago. However, the Cheltenham result in between was a 18th-place finish, suggesting inconsistency, and form is now ageing.
One of the more successful in the field (2 career wins)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- G. Elliott has a good 20.8% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
- This is a 14-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Solid record of roughly 1 win in every 3.5 races with a consistency of placing in 4 of 5 remaining outings, but a pulled-up run at Cheltenham 231 days ago and long absence raise questions about current fitness. Gordon Elliott yard and decent form across the career, though the 184-day layoff is significant.
One of the more successful in the field (2 career wins)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £126.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A Chase Turf race works in this horse's favour. Horses often do best in one type of race and struggle in others.
- Today's race is over 2m 4f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
- S. Neville wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Making a racecourse debut at age 7 with a pedigree built for jumps racing but no form to assess, so all claims rest on breeding and trainer confidence. The older age at debut and lack of track record make this impossible to evaluate on evidence alone.
Racecourse debut
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £23.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- G. Elliott wins 20.8% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
- This is a Chase Turf race, and it suits this horse. Running in the right type of race matters.
- 14 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Has won over this course and distance before with a 33% win rate across six races, and the form shows consistency with only one real disappointment in the career. Recent third at Perth 191 days ago and a win at Fairyhouse before that suggest this horse is still engaged and competitive.
Has won over this course and distance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £51.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This is a Chase Turf race, and it suits this horse. Running in the right type of race matters.
- Today's race is over 2m 4f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
- W. Harvey wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Only horse in the field with a winning record on soft ground (1 win from 3 races), making this the ideal surface for a horse that has otherwise been inconsistent. Recent third at Gowran Park was well beaten, and data is thin on whether that soft-ground success is repeatable or a one-off.
Best record on this ground (1 from 3)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £151.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- 2m 4f is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
- A Chase Turf race works in this horse's favour. Horses often do best in one type of race and struggle in others.
- R. K. Watson has a 2.5% overall win rate, which is on the low side. That may mean the horse is not at its best.
TrackLab Insight
Only one race career with a sixth-place finish and no experience on soft ground makes this the rawest prospect in the field, despite carrying the market's shortest price. The inexperience and ground concerns are genuine risks that the odds alone do not reflect.
Never raced on soft ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Market favourite (1/10)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £29.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- W. P. Mullins wins 21.5% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- 14 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Nine-year-old with an exceptional record on soft or muddy ground (2 wins from 4 starts, a 50% conversion rate)—the conditions here should suit perfectly. However, recent form shows a fifth-place finish at Listowel 36 days ago, and the last win came over two years ago, making this a horse potentially past its peak.
One of the more successful in the field (2 career wins)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £34.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A Chase Turf race works in this horse's favour. Horses often do best in one type of race and struggle in others.
- Finishing 3rd last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
- This is a 14-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
One win from seven races (14% win rate) but has a strong record on soft ground with 1 win from 3 starts, which suits these conditions. However, the win came 194 days ago and recent form shows only a third-place finish at Galway 53 days ago, suggesting form may have dipped since that victory.
Never raced on soft ground
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £34.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has been off the track for 179 days. That is a long break. Some horses come back fresh. Others need a run to get fit again.
- This horse is suited to this Chase Turf race. A horse in its best type of race can just focus on running.
- A 2.5% career win rate for R. K. Watson. That is below the top trainers.
TrackLab Insight
Good 25% win rate from 12 races with recent form showing two near-misses (beaten just 0.5L and 1.2L), but has no wins from three races on soft ground—a serious concern given today's conditions. This is a genuine weakness in the profile rather than a minor consideration.
Never raced on soft ground
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £51.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A Chase Turf race works in this horse's favour. Horses often do best in one type of race and struggle in others.
- The trend in recent results is up. Each run has been better than the one before, which is encouraging.
- This is a 14-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Most experienced horse in the field with 25 career races and recent Class 2 victory in November 2025, but has never won on soft ground (0 wins from 4 starts) and recent form is poor with a 22nd at Curragh 33 days ago. The soft-ground concern is a major red flag for a horse already showing form struggles.
Never raced on soft ground
Best record at this trip (1 from 4)
Most experienced (25 runs, field avg 7)
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.