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Bellasio

There's a horse that keeps knocking on the door without quite getting through it. Bellasio, a five-year-old trained by Grant Tuer at his yard in Birkby, North Yorkshire, has finished second four times in his last six races — a record that is equal parts encouraging and maddening. He has won just once in ten career races, a 10% win rate, but that recent string of placings tells you he is consistently competitive. He just keeps getting pipped.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Belardo
Mother
Aisling Ghear
Trainer
Owner
Ng Racing
Rating
65

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
10
Career races
1
Wins
10%
Win rate
avg ~10%
70%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
290 days
Since last race

🏁 Next Race

Today
About 1 mile · Standard all-weather surface · 11 runners

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

That one win came at Carlisle in June 2025, and it matters. Carlisle is a genuine test of a horse's character — an undulating track that sorts out horses with heart from those that find reasons to lose — and Bellasio got the job done there. The problem is it was nearly a year ago now, and he has been off the track for roughly nine months since. A long absence like that always raises questions, but Tuer is bullish about what he is bringing back. He describes Bellasio as having returned in great form and believes the horse has 10lb in hand — meaning, in plain terms, that the official weight he carries in races underestimates how good he actually is. That is a meaningful claim if it is right.

The key ingredient, according to Tuer, is wet or muddy ground. Bellasio has spent the summer on a deliberate break, waiting for the autumn when conditions soften up. That is a trainer backing his own judgement rather than just running a horse wherever a race comes up — and with 26 winners sent out from the yard this season, Tuer's judgement carries weight. Regular jockey Oliver Stammers has been aboard for six of Bellasio's races together, winning once, roughly 1 in every 6 rides — a modest return, but the form figures suggest they have been going close far more often than the winner's column shows.

At a distance between seven furlongs and a mile, Bellasio has won 1 from 5 races, his best strike zone. The plan now is an autumn campaign running into all-weather racing once the turf season winds down. For a horse that keeps finishing second, the question is whether a combination of the right ground, the right trip, and nearly a year's freshness can finally turn those frustrating near-misses into another winner's enclosure moment.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Well suited by 7f – 1m distances: 20% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Returning from a 290-day absence

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
7F – 1M
Loves
5F – 6½F
Unknown
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 5 (entry-level)
Avoids
Class 6 (grassroots)
Loves
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, hilly
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
20 Jul
2nd
Redcar
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 9 runners
5 Jul
2nd
Carlisle
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft · 15 runners
16 Jun
🏆 Won
Carlisle
7f – 1m · Soft · 9 runners
11 Jun
2nd
Hamilton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 14 runners
28 May
2nd
Hamilton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 11 runners
1 May
5th
Southwell
7f – 1m · Standard · 10 runners
5 Jun
8th
Ripon
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 10 runners
20 May
6th
Carlisle
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 12 runners
31 Oct
3rd
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 11 runners
26 Sep
2nd
Newcastle
7f – 1m · Standard · 9 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Oliver Stammers Current Jockey
16.7%
Win rate
1/6
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Elizabeth Gale
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Carlisle
Undulating
3 1 win, 1 second, 1 other 5 Jul 33.3%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
2 2 seconds 11 Jun 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 third 31 Oct 0%
Ripon
Sharp
1 1 other 5 Jun 0%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 other 1 May 0%
Redcar
Galloping
1 1 second 20 Jul 0%