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Jesmond Dawn

Jesmond Dawn has taken his time to deliver on early promise, but the five-year-old is finally starting to show why Grant Tuer's yard at Birkby thought enough of him to buy at a decent price. His career record of four wins from 38 races — roughly one victory in every nine outings — looks modest on paper, but his recent form tells a different story. He finished second last time out after a run of consistent placings, and six weeks ago won at Ripon, a track where he has won 2 of his 8 races (25%), making him a genuine specialist there. That's the kind of win rate that gets a horse noticed by people who know how to read a form book.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Dawn Approach
Mother
Strapless
Trainer
Owner
The Weighting Game
Rating
70

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
38
Career races
4
Wins
10.5%
Win rate
avg ~10%
44.7%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The puzzle with Jesmond Dawn is that he clearly needs the right conditions to shine. On fast, dry ground he has won 2 of 8 races (25%), nearly double his overall win rate — a telling gap that suggests he simply doesn't like running on anything softer or muddier. Put him on Ripon's galloping track with firm underfoot, and he becomes a different proposition. His best performances have come over the middle distances, from five furlongs to six and a half furlongs, where he has won 1 of 4 races. Oliver Stammers, his regular jockey, has ridden him 19 times and won once, a modest return that hints at chemistry issues — or simply that the rider and horse haven't quite found their rhythm together.

Tuer's stable has had a strong season with 29 winners already, and Jesmond Dawn's latest victory suggests the trainer has worked out how to get the best from a horse who, by his own admission, was bought with genuine potential but took years to come good. At five, he may never be a headline-maker, but as a reliable winner at modest level on tracks and going he likes, he has found his place.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 2 wins from 8 starts (25%)
Well suited by 5f – 6½f distances: 25% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Struggles on RH Undulating tracks: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to firm (drying out)
Loves
Standard (all-weather)
Good (firm-ish)
Ok
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
5F – 6½F
Loves
1M1F – 1M2F
7F – 1M
Ok
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
🏅 Competition Level
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Ok
Class 6 (grassroots)
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, tight turns
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
14 Aug
15th
Thirsk
7f – 1m · Good · 15 runners
18 Jul
5th
Ripon
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 7 runners
6 Jul
🏆 Won
Ripon
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 9 runners
3 Jul
5th
Beverley
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 11 runners
19 Jun
3rd
Redcar
7f – 1m · Good · 14 runners
3 Jun
2nd
Ripon
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 14 runners
6 Feb
7th
Newcastle
7f – 1m · Standard · 9 runners
29 Dec
10th
Newcastle
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 13 runners
13 Dec
8th
Newcastle
7f – 1m · Standard · 8 runners
2 Dec
7th
Newcastle
7f – 1m · Standard · 11 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Oliver Stammers Current Jockey
5.3%
Win rate
1/19
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
2/6
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/6
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Newcastle
Galloping
11 1 win, 1 second, 2 thirds, 7 other 6 Feb 9.1%
Ripon
Sharp
8 2 wins, 3 seconds, 1 third, 2 other 18 Jul 25%
Redcar
Galloping
5 1 win, 1 second, 2 thirds, 1 other 19 Jun 20%
Carlisle
Undulating
4 2 thirds, 2 other 12 Aug 0%
Musselburgh
Sharp
3 1 third, 2 other 1 Oct 0%
Catterick Bridge
Sharp
2 2 other 24 Apr 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
2 2 other 19 Jul 0%
Wetherby
Galloping
1 1 other 27 Apr 0%
Beverley
Undulating
1 1 other 3 Jul 0%
Thirsk
Galloping
1 1 other 14 Aug 0%