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Jesmond Dawn

Jesmond Dawn came with high hopes and a significant price tag, but the 5-year-old has learned the hard way that racing success is never guaranteed. Trained by Grant Tuer at Birkby in North Yorkshire, this horse has won just four of his forty races — a win rate of roughly 1 in every 10 — and has spent most of his career knocking on the door without quite breaking through. He was bought as a promising young prospect bred for success as a three-year-old, but he disappointed in his early races and has since settled into a pattern of consistent minor placings. In his last six outings he has finished second, second, fifteenth, fifth, first, and fifth — the kind of form that suggests a horse trying hard but only occasionally getting the breaks that lead to victory.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Dawn Approach
Mother
Strapless
Trainer
Owner
The Weighting Game
Official rating
67

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
40
Career races
4
Wins
10%
Win rate
avg ~10%
42.5%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
36 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

What makes Jesmond Dawn worth watching is how he transforms on certain surfaces and courses. He wins roughly one race in every four on fast, dry ground, compared to his dismal 6% win rate on standard conditions. Ripon, a track in his home county of Yorkshire, brings out the best in him: he has won two of his eight races there, including a success just two months ago. At shorter distances between five and six and a half furlongs he also improves to a 25% win rate, suggesting he is at his sharpest when conditions suit and the race fits his dimensions. His partnership with regular rider Oliver Stammers has been less fruitful, with just one win from nineteen rides together, but Grant Tuer's yard has sent out twenty-nine winners this season and clearly knows how to train a competitive horse. For a horse still searching for consistency after five years in racing, Jesmond Dawn remains an intriguing prospect on his day — especially at Ripon, on firm ground, at the right distance.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 2 wins from 8 starts (25%)
✔ Well suited by 5f – 6½f distances: 25% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
⚠ Struggles on RH Undulating tracks: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Loves
Standard (all-weather)
Good (a little give)
Ok
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
5F – 6½F
Loves
1M1F – 1M2F
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
7F – 1M
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Ok
Class 6 (grassroots)
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, tight turns
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
12 Sep
6th
Musselburgh
7f – 1m · Good · 10 runners
5 Sep
6th
Newcastle
7f – 1m · Standard · 9 runners
14 Aug
15th
Thirsk
7f – 1m · Good · 15 runners
18 Jul
5th
Ripon
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 7 runners
6 Jul
🏆 Won
Ripon
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 9 runners
3 Jul
5th
Beverley
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 11 runners
19 Jun
3rd
Redcar
7f – 1m · Good · 14 runners
3 Jun
2nd
Ripon
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 14 runners
6 Feb
7th
Newcastle
7f – 1m · Standard · 9 runners
29 Dec
10th
Newcastle
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 13 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
Oliver Stammers Current jockey
5.3%
Win rate
1/19
Wins / rides
33.3%
Win rate
2/6
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/6
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Newcastle
Galloping
12 1 win, 1 second, 2 thirds, 8 other 5 Sep 8.3%
Ripon
Sharp
8 2 wins, 3 seconds, 1 third, 2 other 18 Jul 25%
Redcar
Galloping
5 1 win, 1 second, 2 thirds, 1 other 19 Jun 20%
Carlisle
Undulating
4 2 thirds, 2 other 12 Aug 0%
Musselburgh
Sharp
4 1 third, 3 other 12 Sep 0%
Catterick Bridge
Sharp
2 2 other 24 Apr 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
2 2 other 19 Jul 0%
Wetherby
Galloping
1 1 other 27 Apr 0%
Beverley
Undulating
1 1 other 3 Jul 0%
Thirsk
Galloping
1 1 other 14 Aug 0%