Ripon
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TrackLab Insight
Yermanthere has an excellent record specifically on yielding-to-soft ground (2 wins from 3 starts), but today's wet conditions are different: he has zero wins from nine starts on soft ground proper, suggesting he needs the ground slightly faster than what's on offer. Close second at Ripon 45 days ago, he represents a contradiction—the ground suits him better than most, yet the data warns he's never won when conditions are this wet.
One of the more successful in the field (4 career wins)
Trainer Quotes
Apr 2024
"He's another who has had a good break since joining us. We decided to wait for the summer with horses like him who look to be well handicapped; that's where the money and the races are. It looks as though he's a seven-furlong horse. 23-04-24"
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TrackLab Insight
The market favourite and top-rated horse in the field at OR 71, His Finest Hour has the best career win rate here (roughly 1 in 6 races) and has won specifically at this distance (25% from four races between 1m1f–1m2f). Recent form shows two seconds at Ripon, but both came on faster ground—wet conditions remove his proven strength and he may struggle to repeat.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 6)
Market favourite (2.7)
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TrackLab Insight
The standout candidate for wet ground: Draupnir has won 1 from just 3 races on soft ground (33%)—the best conversion rate among wet-ground runners in this field. At just four years old with only 11 career races, he's still learning, but recent form at York (10th and 7th) suggests he's not in peak condition and may struggle to build on that ground advantage.
Best record on this ground (1 from 3)
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TrackLab Insight
Cosmos Raj is a genuine course specialist at Ripon with 4 wins from 13 starts (31%)—the best win rate over this track in the field—and has won this exact course and distance before. He won at Redcar just 10 days ago and has an excellent record on good-to-soft ground (25%), making him a serious threat despite wet conditions being marginally tighter for him than some rivals.
Course specialist (4 wins from 13 here)
Has won over this course and distance
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TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field at 84 races, Poet's Dawn won here just 29 days ago and carries the draw advantage in low numbers—but wet ground is a serious concern, with zero wins from four starts on heavy terrain. At 11 years old, he's still competitive, yet recent form shows back-to-back defeats by double figures suggest he may be struggling to maintain peak fitness.
Most experienced (84 runs, field avg 37)
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TrackLab Insight
Like Triple Force, No Knee Never has never raced on wet ground, so today is a genuine trial in the unknown. His strength is on standard ground and at shorter distances (5f–6½f), making the 1m2f on wet turf a poor fit for his profile. Recent form is also poor, with a tenth at his last outing suggesting he is currently out of sorts.
Never raced on wet ground
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TrackLab Insight
Precious Spartan is a Ripon specialist with 3 wins from just 4 starts here (75%)—an extraordinary win rate—and carries the lowest weight in the field. However, his form has collapsed recently (11th by 35 lengths at Ayr 22 days ago), and crucially, he has zero wins from three starts on soft ground, making this wet surface a serious question mark over his Ripon record.
Lowest rated, 8lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
Course specialist (3 wins from 4 here)
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