Plumpton
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J H Builders Conditional Jockeys' Training Series Handicap Hurdle (Racing Excellence Series Finale)
Awaiting result
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Why this score
- Handles this ground well, with 44% of its races won on it. The ground can change a horse's chances a lot.
- With a 15.2% win rate overall, R. Corcoran is one of the more dependable riders.
- This is a 15-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
The standout horse in this race by almost every measure: top-rated by 3lbs, the only horse in the field to have won here three times from four visits, and he did it again just three weeks ago. Wins roughly 1 in every 3 races across his career, which is a genuinely strong record. The one caveat is that today's normal conditions are a step up from the wet ground he has thrived on here — he has never won on normal ground at Plumpton.
Top rated by 3lbs
Course specialist (3 wins from 4 here)
Best record at this trip (1 from 3)
Why this score
- 2m 4½f is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
- A 25% win rate on this ground from 8 runs. Just like people, horses have favourite surfaces. This one likes today's ground.
- B. Aprahamian wins only 6.2% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
One of only two horses in this field — alongside Goodwin — to have won at Plumpton, which counts for something on a track that rewards familiarity. He ran an honest third just 20 days ago and has two wins here from his career, but wins only about 1 in every 6 races overall and has yet to suggest he can trouble the best-rated horses in a field like this.
One of few course winners (2 wins here)
Why this score
- O. Murphy wins 27.3% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
- Wins 22% of the time on this type of ground. Some horses run much better on soft or firm ground. This one suits today's ground.
- An average finish of 4 over recent runs. Finishing in the middle or further back so often counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field by a distance — 37 career races compared to a field average of 14 — so there are no secrets about what he is. He has won on normal ground before and placed four times in his last six runs, suggesting he stays competitive, but he has never won on right-handed tracks of any kind, and Plumpton is right-handed.
Most experienced (37 runs, field avg 14)
Why this score
- This horse runs well on today's ground, with a 25% win rate from 4 runs. The ground makes a big difference in racing.
- 2m 4½f is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
- This is a 15-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
She has finished second in two of her last three races, including at this very course three weeks ago, so she clearly handles Plumpton and is running with confidence. The question is whether she can convert that consistency into a win — she has placed in four of five career races but found the winner too strong each time.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
Why this score
- P. Nicholls has a good 28.4% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
- Wins 50% of the time on this type of ground. Some horses run much better on soft or firm ground. This one suits today's ground.
- F. Keighley wins 13.6% of their races overall. That is below the average for professional jockeys.
TrackLab Insight
The longest absentee in the field — 119 days off since pulling up at Fontwell — and that layoff after a poor run demands caution. When he has been right, he has been impressive, winning 1 in every 3 races including at a high level, and the jockey-trainer partnership here has a solid shared record of 8 wins from 41 races together.
Absent 119 days (longest in field)
Why this score
- Today's race is over 2m 4½f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
- A low win rate on this ground from 16 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- 15 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
He loves Stratford-on-Avon — three wins from seven visits there — but Plumpton is a different track entirely and he has no record here. He was beaten by just a third of a length last time out at Stratford, so he arrives in decent form, but today's first-time jockey combination adds a small element of uncertainty.
One of the more successful in the field (5 career wins)
Why this score
- The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
Second-highest rated horse in the field at OR 119, but his recent form makes for uncomfortable reading — he pulled up at Ludlow last time out and has not finished in the top three in any of his last six races. Wins roughly 1 in 10 races overall, and crucially has never won on normal ground in four attempts, which is exactly what he faces today.
2nd highest rated (OR 119)
Why this score
- The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
On paper he looks the part — wins 1 in every 3 races and has an excellent record on normal ground with 2 wins from 4 attempts. The concern is his two most recent runs ended in a pulled up, so whatever went wrong there needs explaining before he can be trusted at the track today.
Best record on this ground (2 from 4)
Best career win rate in field (1 in 3)
Why this score
- There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
TrackLab Insight
The least experienced horse in the field with just five career races, which in a 15-runner competitive field counts as a genuine unknown. His last run ended in a distant eighth, and with 78 days off since then, he arrives here with question marks rather than answers.
Relatively inexperienced (5 career races)
Why this score
- The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
His trainer James Owen is the best-performing trainer in the field over the last two weeks, landing 3 from 17, which is a useful pointer. Jubilant himself wins roughly 1 in every 4 races across a 21-race career, but his last two outings — a distant sixth and a pulled up — mean he needs to bounce back sharply here.
Trainer in best form (3 from 17 last 2wk)
8
Roi Du Risk
Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form
1
Why this score
- Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
No clear standout angle marks him out in this field, and his last run was a well-beaten ninth in a Grade 1 at Sandown, which is a steep step down in class. He has won 2 from 3 on genuinely wet ground but has never won on normal conditions, so today's standard surface may not suit him.
No clear distinguishing angle in this field
Why this score
- The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
He broke his duck at Carlisle just 36 days ago, so he arrives here with fresh confidence and in decent form. The big unknown is that he has never raced on normal ground — all of his wins came on softer conditions — so today is genuinely uncharted territory for him.
Never raced on normal ground
Why this score
- The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
The youngest horse in the field at just four years old, and like Kado Sacree, has never raced on normal ground, making today a step into the unknown. He wins roughly 1 in every 3 races and has a strong record over today's kind of trip, but at 2m4f against older, more experienced rivals, his youth is both his appeal and his risk.
Never raced on normal ground
Why this score
- The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
One of the more experienced horses in the field with 26 career races, but her recent form has come entirely on all-weather tracks — places like Chelmsford and Wolverhampton — rather than on turf over hurdles. She has never won on normal ground in four attempts, which makes today look like an uphill task.
Among the more experienced (26 career races)
Why this score
- Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
The lowest-rated and lightest-weighted horse in the field — 12lbs below the field average — which in a handicap gives him a theoretical edge in terms of weight carried. He has finished in the top three in five of his last six races, but has never quite managed to win, and his win rate of roughly 1 in every 8 races reflects that frustrating pattern.
Lowest rated, 12lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.