Plumpton
·
Julie Brown Memorial Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)
Awaiting result
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Why this score
- J. Owen has a good 25% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
- J. Owen wins 18% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- The official rating suggests this horse has work to do. Lower-rated horses need to improve to win.
TrackLab Insight
Essentially an unknown quantity — one career race, one third-place finish, and that is all the data we have. He has never raced on normal ground before, so today's conditions are a genuine unknown for him. With so little to go on, this is a horse you are largely taking on faith.
Never raced on normal ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Why this score
- Has raced 8 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- J. Owen wins 25% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
- Rated lower than many rivals. The ratings suggest this horse needs to improve to compete.
TrackLab Insight
By far the most experienced horse in the field with 26 races under his belt — more than double the field average of 9 — yet he has won just once, which tells you experience alone has not translated into results. He raced only yesterday, which raises obvious questions about freshness. He has also never won on normal ground in nine attempts, which is a significant concern on today's conditions.
Most experienced (26 runs, field avg 9)
Runs again after just 1 days
Trainer in best form (3 from 17 last 2wk)
Why this score
- A 19% overall win rate for S. Bowen. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- W. Greatrex wins 14.4% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- Has not raced for 290 days. That is a long time away, and we cannot be sure the horse will be fit enough.
TrackLab Insight
The best career win rate in the field by a distance — two wins from six races, meaning he wins roughly 1 in 3, which no other runner here comes close to matching. The big question mark is a 290-day absence, the longest layoff of any horse in this field — we simply do not know what he has been doing since finishing third at Leopardstown last September. If he returns anywhere near his best, he is fascinating.
Absent 290 days (longest in field)
Best career win rate in field (1 in 3)
Why this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- A 6.6% overall win rate for M. Usher. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- A 6.2% career win rate for J. Davies. That is on the low side and could matter today.
TrackLab Insight
Nine races and still without a win, and the recent form makes for grim reading — beaten 38 lengths at Kempton and 34 lengths at Newbury in his last two outings. There is no clear angle to recommend him in this field, and the data simply does not offer much encouragement.
No clear distinguishing angle in this field
Why this score
- The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
The standout on official ratings — ranked 8lbs clear of the field average, which is a meaningful advantage in a race like this. He has finished in the top two in every single race of his career, including three consecutive runner-up spots, and he already knows how to win. The most solid all-round profile here.
Top rated by 8lbs
Best record on this ground (1 from 3)
Why this score
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 6 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- J. Davis has won 5.2% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
Like Versatile, Calibos ran just two days ago and arrives here on very short turnaround, which is unusual and worth noting. He has won only once from 17 races and has never won on normal ground in three attempts, so the conditions do not play to his strengths either. Hard to make a case for him here.
Runs again after just 2 days
Why this score
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 5 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
He ran at this very course 21 days ago and finished a close third, beaten less than a length — that course form is relevant and he clearly handles Plumpton. He is officially rated 7lbs below the field average, so he has something to find on paper against the top-rated horses, but his recent run here suggests he is in decent nick.
One of the more successful in the field (1 career wins)
Why this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
The second-highest rated horse in the field on official figures, which gives him claims on paper, though his trainer has gone 0 from 7 in the last two weeks. His best distance record covers the 2-mile trip today, so the race sets up well for him on that front — but he has never won on a left-handed galloping track in eight attempts, and Plumpton fits that profile.
2nd highest rated (OR 101)
Why this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- A. Honeyball wins 24.6% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
- There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
TrackLab Insight
The data here is thin and slightly conflicting — the form figures show a second place at Plumpton 34 days ago and a fourth at Sandown, but the career record shows just one race with no places, so treat the numbers with caution. What is clear is that she steps up three class levels today, which is a significant jump, and with only a handful of runs to her name she remains largely unexposed.
Steps up 3 classes
Lightly raced (2 career races)
Why this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- A. Honeyball has a good 24.6% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
- The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
She holds a genuinely important distinction: she is the only horse in this field with a win recorded over today's 2-mile trip. She also ran a solid second at Wincanton just 28 days ago, beaten only 1.5 lengths, so she arrives in form. With a win rate of 1 in every 5 races — better than most rivals here — she deserves serious consideration.
Only winner at this distance
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.