Plumpton
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Plumpton Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)
Awaiting result
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Why this score
- An 8-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- This horse runs well on today's ground, with a 33% win rate from 3 runs. The ground makes a big difference in racing.
- It is not clear this Hurdle Turf race suits this horse's strengths.
TrackLab Insight
Finally got off the mark at Exeter last month after two heavy defeats suggested things might not click — so that first win was a genuine turnaround in form. Rated second-highest in this field, which gives him a solid platform against most of these rivals. The big question is whether that Exeter win was a one-off or the start of something better.
2nd highest rated (OR 105)
Why this score
- J. Candlish wins 29.4% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
- J. Candlish wins 10.9% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- An average finish of 4.7 over recent runs. Finishing in the middle or further back so often counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field by a distance — 12 races compared to a field average of just four — and has the best career record here with three wins to his name. The concern is that he ran just two days ago at Chester and finished ninth, which is a very quick turnaround, and his trainer has gone winless in the last two weeks. His record on normal conditions like today is also poor: no wins from three attempts.
Best record on this ground (2 from 4)
Most experienced (12 runs, field avg 4)
Runs again after just 2 days
Best career win rate in field (1 in 4)
Why this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- Today's race is over 2m 4½f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
- A 0% record at this course for M. Comley. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Six races and no wins, but that near miss at Market Rasen just two days ago — beaten less than a length — shows there is ability in here that has not quite translated into a victory yet. Rated lowest in the field and is also running for the second time in two days, which is a lot to ask of any horse. The jockey and trainer have never won together from two attempts, which adds to the uncertainty.
Runs again after just 2 days
Why this score
- Today's race is over 2m 4½f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
- 8 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- K. Jewell has a 4.4% overall win rate, which is on the low side. That may mean the horse is not at its best.
TrackLab Insight
Three races, no wins, no placed finishes, and two previous runs at this very course that both ended without completing — that is a difficult record to look past. Like Handmedownastar, he has never raced on normal ground before today. There is very little in the data to suggest a breakthrough is coming here.
Never raced on normal ground
Lightly raced (3 career races)
Why this score
- This is an 8-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
TrackLab Insight
The top-rated horse in this field by five pounds clear, which on paper makes him the one to beat — but he has never raced on normal ground like today, so we are seeing something new. Only two career races to his name, finishing second and third, so he has been consistently close without winning. Lightly raced and well-rated is an intriguing combination, but the unknown ground conditions are a genuine question mark.
Top rated by 5lbs
Never raced on normal ground
Lightly raced (2 career races)
Why this score
- 8 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
One race on the board with no result we can clearly read, which makes this horse almost impossible to assess on form alone. Has never raced on normal ground conditions like today, adding another layer of uncertainty for a horse with barely any track record. We simply do not know enough yet — this could be interesting or this could be another learning experience.
Never raced on normal ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Why this score
- An 8-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
Won at Huntingdon just three days ago, so she arrives here in the freshest possible form — but running again this quickly after a win is unusual and worth watching. She has been placed in four of her five career races, showing a consistency that few in this field can match. The fall at Ludlow earlier in the season is a reminder that jumping can be unpredictable, but on current form she looks one of the more interesting runners here.
Runs again after just 3 days
Why this score
- 8 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
She finished second at this exact course 34 days ago, which makes her the only horse in the field with a recent placed run at Plumpton — that course familiarity could matter. The step up three class levels today is a significant jump in quality and the biggest challenge she has faced on paper. With only two career races to go on, there is genuine uncertainty about how she handles that rise in class.
Steps up 3 classes
Lightly raced (2 career races)
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.