Plumpton
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J H Builders Joinery Handicap Chase (GBB Race)
Awaiting result
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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3
Jet Of Dreams
A 21% win rate on this ground from 19 runs
24
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Why this score
- A 21% win rate on this ground from 19 runs. Just like people, horses have favourite surfaces. This one likes today's ground.
- S. Bowen wins 19% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- S. Bowen wins only 33.3% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Five career wins and an extraordinary number of placed efforts from 28 races — this horse finishes in the money far more often than most. That said, his last two completed runs have both been fourth place finishes, and he has never won on conditions softer than normal ground. Sean Bowen takes the ride but has drawn a blank in his last two races.
One of the more successful in the field (5 career wins)
Why this score
- A low win rate on this ground from 3 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- A Chase Turf race works in this horse's favour. Horses often do best in one type of race and struggle in others.
- Has had 47 days off since its last race. That is a routine gap that should not help or hurt.
TrackLab Insight
The youngest in the field at seven and still improving, but his recent form is a worry — he has fallen in two of his last four races, including 26 days ago at Newton Abbot. When he does complete, he can be competitive, with three wins all coming on fast, dry ground; he has never won on soft or wet conditions. No clear angle that separates him from the mid-pack here.
No clear distinguishing angle in this field
Why this score
- J. Candlish wins 29.4% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
- A 10.9% overall win rate for J. Candlish. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- With an average finish of 1.3 lately, recent results are poor. This horse needs to improve.
TrackLab Insight
The standout stat in this entire field: seven wins from just 17 races, meaning he wins roughly 2 in every 5 times out — no other horse here comes close to that record. He won at Stratford 43 days ago and was previously second at Plumpton, so he handles this track. The only caution is he has been off for over six weeks and has raced infrequently — his form record has big gaps in it.
Best record at this trip (1 from 3)
Best career win rate in field (1 in 2)
Why this score
- A 31.2% win rate at this course for D. McCain. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- This is an 8-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- An average finish of 2 over recent runs. Finishing in the middle or further back so often counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
The youngest horse in the field at six and arguably the most exciting — four wins from his last six races is a remarkable recent run, including a win at Chepstow 38 days ago. He wins roughly 1 in 2 races on normal-to-soft conditions and goes especially well at around today's distance. Still lightly raced with 14 outings, he could be the improver of the field.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
Why this score
- 8 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- Wins 20% of the time on this type of ground. Some horses run much better on soft or firm ground. This one suits today's ground.
- Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
The top-rated horse in this field by 5lbs, and the only one with two wins at Plumpton itself — that course knowledge is a genuine asset. The concern is that he lines up just six days after finishing well beaten at Fakenham, and his last three runs have all been poor. On fast, dry ground he wins roughly 1 in 5 races, but wet or soft conditions have produced zero wins from 13 attempts.
Top rated by 5lbs
Course specialist (2 wins from 6 here)
Runs again after just 6 days
Why this score
- An 8-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- A Chase Turf race works in this horse's favour. Horses often do best in one type of race and struggle in others.
- The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
Second-highest rated in the field and arriving in sharp form — a win at Huntingdon followed by a close second at Stratford and a previous second at this very track. On ground described as normal conditions, this horse wins nearly 1 in 3 races, which is the best ground-form stat in the field for those conditions. A genuine contender who knows how to run a big race.
2nd highest rated (OR 117)
Why this score
- An 8-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- A 27.3% win rate at this course for O. Murphy. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
Vocito has won over this course and distance before, which is a clear tick in his favour among rivals who have not. On fast, dry ground he wins roughly 1 in 4 races and is well suited to this sort of trip, but his record on anything other than good ground is poor — zero wins from 16 attempts on softer or yielding surfaces. Normal conditions here suit him, but he has never won on right-handed tracks of any kind.
Has won over this course and distance
Why this score
- This is an 8-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
The lowest-rated horse in the field by 5lbs and carrying the lightest weight — that weight advantage can make a real difference in a race like this. He arrives off a win at Wincanton 48 days ago and on fast, dry ground wins roughly 2 in every 5 races, the best ground record in the field for normal conditions. The risk is his form is wildly inconsistent: a comfortable win is often followed by a very poor run.
Lowest rated, 5lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
Best record on this ground (5 from 12)
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.