Plumpton
·
Henners Handicap Chase
Awaiting result
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Why this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- This is a 6-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- Last raced 26 days ago. That is a normal gap between runs.
TrackLab Insight
Among the least experienced horses in the field with just seven races to its name, Jiair Madrik has had wind surgery — a procedure designed to help a horse breathe more freely and potentially unlock improvement. The form figures are modest, with consecutive fourth-place finishes last time, but those runs came against stiffer competition over different distances. This is a horse that could surprise if that surgery has made a difference.
Relatively inexperienced (7 career races)
Why this score
- 6 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- Has had 60 days off since its last race. That is a routine gap that should not help or hurt.
TrackLab Insight
The least experienced runner in the field with only five races to its name, Wings On Wheels is still very much a work in progress. Its most recent run, a second place at Huntingdon 60 days ago, is the clear positive — but that followed a pulled-up effort, so its form is inconsistent at best. The 60-day break since that promising run adds another unknown: we won't know until the race starts whether it returns in the same shape.
Relatively inexperienced (5 career races)
Why this score
- This horse runs well on today's ground, with a 22% win rate from 18 runs. The ground makes a big difference in racing.
- 6 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- An 11.2% career win rate for T. Broughton. That is on the low side and could matter today.
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field by a clear margin with 24 races under its belt, Chief Black Robe also has the best win rate here — roughly 1 in every 6 races — and crucially, it has proven it can win on normal ground conditions, going 4 from 18 on similar surfaces. The enormous red flag, however, is that it raced just yesterday and finished a well-beaten sixth: running a horse on consecutive days is a major risk, and its recent form includes a pull-up too. Experience counts for a lot, but freshness matters just as much.
Best record on this ground (4 from 18)
Most experienced (24 runs, field avg 11)
Runs again after just 1 days
Best career win rate in field (1 in 6)
Why this score
- A 6-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- This is a Chase Turf race, and it suits this horse. Running in the right type of race matters.
- A 4.4% career win rate for K. Jewell. That is below the top trainers.
TrackLab Insight
The standout fact about Pleasure Garden is that it is the only horse in this field to have won at Plumpton — and it has raced here four times, so it genuinely knows the track. It also carries the lightest weight in the race, a real advantage over two and a half miles. The concerns are real though: rated 24 pounds below the field average and beaten nearly 24 lengths here just 35 days ago, so the course form has to be weighed against the gap in class.
Lowest rated, 24lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
Only course winner (1 from 4 here)
Why this score
- This is a 6-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- J. Candlish wins 29.4% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
- The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
The highest-rated horse in this field by some margin, Saint Polo carries a rating 9 points above the average — a sign the handicapper thinks this is a cut above most rivals here. Back-to-back runner-up finishes at Sedgefield before a third last time out shows this horse is consistently getting involved, but eight races and still no win is a concern. It has the class to lead this field on paper, but finding that winning moment remains the puzzle.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
Why this score
- A 6-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- A low win rate on this ground from 4 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
TrackLab Insight
The most pressing question here is straightforward: why is this horse running again just four days after its last race? That quick turnaround is unusual and worth noting, especially when that run ended in fifth. To its credit, Known Warrior placed second at this very course 76 days ago, so Plumpton holds no fears — but nine races without a win and a tired body are real concerns.
Runs again after just 4 days
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.