✓ Race distance✓ Horse record on this going✓ Class change
Won 0 of last 5Raced here before
Why this score
+Today's race is over 3m 1f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
+This type of ground has not suited the horse: 5 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
−A 2.1% career win rate for T. Leeson. That is below the top trainers.
TrackLab Insight
Second-highest rated in the field, yet Porridge has never won a race from 14 attempts — a stark combination that is hard to explain away. Two pulled-up runs in the months before a distant fourth at Fontwell last time out make recent form deeply unconvincing. Despite the decent rating, the evidence on the track simply does not back it up.
Back quickly after its last runWon 1 of last 5Won here 3 timesHas won on this ground
Why this score
+A 3m 1f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
+An 8-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
−T. Worsley has a 4.7% overall win rate, which is lower than we would like to see. A jockey who wins less often can hold back even a good horse.
TrackLab Insight
All three of her career wins have come right here at Plumpton — she is the course specialist of this field, with a record of three wins from 15 races at this track that no rival can match. The eyecatcher is that she races again just six days after finishing third at Fakenham, which is a quick turnaround over this kind of distance. If she handles the short recovery, her love of this course makes her genuinely interesting.
+Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
+A 3m 1f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
−D. Bridgwater wins 7.9% of their races overall. That is below the top trainers.
TrackLab Insight
Seven races, zero wins, and a recent run at Fontwell where she finished eighth beaten over 26 lengths — there is no clear angle to build a case around here. She pulled up at this very course 55 days ago, which is the most recent Plumpton evidence available. The data is thin on reasons for optimism, and what there is points the wrong way.
Has won at this course and distanceWon 0 of last 5Won here 1 timeLikes this ground (wins 29% of runs)Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
+8 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
+Today's race is over 3m 1f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
−The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
The most compelling angle here: All Authorized is the only horse in this field to have won at this course and over this exact distance, making him uniquely suited to today's test on paper. The concern is that his last three races have all been fourths at Plumpton, so familiarity with the track has not translated into progress lately. His trainer has been in poor form over the past two weeks, which adds another layer of doubt.
Only winner at this distanceHas won over this course and distanceBest record on this ground (2 from 7)Best record at this trip (1 from 4)
Won 0 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
Why this score
+8 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
+A. Honeyball wins 24.6% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
−Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
The top-rated horse in the field by a clear 8lbs, which means the handicapper thinks he is significantly better than his rivals on paper. The problem is that Juggernaut keeps finishing second or third without winning — his last six races read 2-2-3-4-3-2, a sequence that screams consistency without reward. He arrives here fresh off two runner-up finishes and is the one every other horse needs to beat.
+This is an 8-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
+Has raced 4 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
−Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
No wins from seven races and no clear standout quality to separate him from his rivals — Hard Stare does not offer much of a hook going into this race. He has been off the track for 62 days, and his two most recent finishes were both thirds, beaten a long way. Nothing in the data here shouts that today is the day things change.
Back after 73 days offWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
Why this score
+8 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
+A. Honeyball has a good 24.6% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
−Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
The youngest horse in the field at five years old, and the data is limited: four races, no wins, no places, and two races where he did not even finish. Crucially, he has never raced on normal ground conditions before, so today brings an unknown into the equation on top of an already difficult record. There simply is not enough evidence here to make a confident case for him.
Back after 231 days offWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
Why this score
+8 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
−The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
The lowest-rated horse in the field by 18lbs below the average — a significant gap that tells you the handicapper views her as well below this level. She also has not raced for 181 days, the longest absence of any runner here, and her last two outings both ended with a pulled-up. Returning from six months off without a win in 15 career races makes this a very tough ask.
Lowest rated, 18lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in fieldAbsent 181 days (longest in field)
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shotScores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
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