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Newton Abbot

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Brewers Decorating Centres Albany Derby Female Jockeys' Handicap Steeple Chase (Female Professional Jockeys And Amateur Riders' Race) (GBB Race)
Starts in
12h 49min
Jumps race · big fences · weighted to be fair About 2.6 miles Slightly soft ground Standard race 6 runners £5,809 prize money E/W: also pays on 2nd, at 1/4 odds
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

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5 It's A Breeze
Miss G. Andrews · P. Nicholls · 7yo · 11st 6lb · Official rating 106
£1 wins £3.50 · 21 Strong chance
A 6-runner race works well for this horse
Headgear Form
21
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 7/2
£1 wins £3.50 · 21 Strong chance
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.50 back.

How odds work
✓ Field size ✓ Trainer wins at this course ✓ Horse record on this going
Wearing tongue strap Won 2 of last 5 Won here 2 times
Why this score
  • A 6-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
  • P. Nicholls wins 28.3% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
  • The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.
TrackLab Insight
The only horse in the field who has won at Newton Abbot (2 from 6), and he's shown three straight top-3 finishes here including a recent win just 101 days ago — he clearly handles this track. The real issue is his record on soft ground is poor (0 from 5), and he also won his races on faster, firmer ground, so slightly soft conditions could work against him.
Only course winner (2 from 6 here) 3 straight top-3 finishes
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.33 back.

How odds work
Wearing tongue strap Back after 233 days off Won 1 of last 5 Likes this ground (wins 40% of runs) Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • A 6-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
  • 2m 5f is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
  • This type of ground has not suited the horse: 5 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite hasn't raced in seven and a half months, which is a significant gap at this level — his last outing was a poor run over a year ago. He does have the best win rate in the field (1 in 5) and a strong record on soft ground (2 from 5), but the long absence and unchanged recent form make his short price puzzling.
Best record on this ground (2 from 5) Absent 233 days (longest in field) Best career win rate in field (1 in 5) Market favourite (11/4)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.50 back.

How odds work
Back after 193 days off Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • This is a 6-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
  • A low win rate on this ground from 3 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
  • J. Snowden has a 13.4% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
This seven-year-old has finished in the top 3 in five of his last six races but still has just one win from twelve attempts — he arrives here well though, with recent top-3 finishes. The problem is his record on soft ground is non-existent (0 from 3), so slightly soft conditions may not suit his profile.
Mid-range in the market (4/1)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before Has won on this ground
Why this score
  • This is a 6-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
  • A 2m 5f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
  • This trainer's horses often do not finish their races. That makes them harder to trust.
TrackLab Insight
Most recently pulled up or well beaten at Chepstow just 19 days ago, this eight-year-old hasn't won in over two years despite 21 career races — a long drought for a horse chasing consistency. He's paired with a new jockey for the first time here, adding another layer of uncertainty to an already struggling runner.
Among the more experienced (21 career races)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.50 back.

How odds work
Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before Likes this ground (wins 25% of runs) Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • A 6-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
  • This is a Chase Turf race, and it suits this horse. Running in the right type of race matters.
  • A 4.7% career win rate for H. Tucker. That is on the low side and could matter today.
TrackLab Insight
His effective partnership is with a different jockey (Conor O'Farrell), not the one booked for today, which removes a key edge.
Lowest rated, 6lbs below average Carries lowest weight in field
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £13.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Back after 177 days off Won 1 of last 5
Why this score
  • This is a 6-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
  • An 11.3% overall win rate for N. King. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
  • This course has not been kind to the trainer. Their record here works against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
At 12 years old, this horse has never encountered slightly soft ground, which is a real concern for a field specialist who has only won three times in 38 races. His two victories came at Fakenham on soft ground, but he has zero wins from seven attempts on any variation of softer going — this surface could expose him badly.
Never raced on slightly soft ground Most experienced (38 runs, field avg 21)
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.

What these words mean

Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
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