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Newton Abbot

·
Sky Sports Racing Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)
Starts in
14h 17min
Jumps race · big fences · weighted to be fair About 3.2 miles Slightly soft ground Standard race 6 runners £4,752 prize money E/W: also pays on 2nd, at 1/4 odds
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

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1 Fairye Forth
S. Bowen · R. Curtis · 7yo · 12st 0lb · Official rating 117
£1 wins £2 · 31 Strong chance
Very little experience on today's ground
Freshness Form
31
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 2/1
£1 wins £2 · 31 Strong chance
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.00 back.

How odds work
✓ Horse record on this going ✓ Field size ✓ Event type
Back after 176 days off Won 1 of last 5
Why this score
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • This is a 6-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
  • The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.
TrackLab Insight
Just delivered a maiden win at Ffos Las this week after two finished in the top 3 efforts, showing steady improvement across three races. Lightly raced at age 7 but has visited the podium every time out, and the market favourite tag reflects confidence in recent form. However, a long layoff before this current active spell means tonight's slightly soft ground conditions will be a fresh test after proving himself on similar terrain just days ago.
Lightly raced (3 career races) Market favourite (7/4)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.00 back.

How odds work
Won 1 of last 5
Why this score
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • A 6-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
  • Facing tougher rivals than last time. It is like moving up to a harder league. The step up is a challenge.
TrackLab Insight
Recently stepped up to Class 4 and found his level, winning once from four attempts at that standard—a much healthier win rate than his bare 14% career average suggests. The 7-year-old has been busy (last raced just 21 days ago), but his most recent outing was a 14-length defeat at Worcester, suggesting form has dipped. His record on fast, dry ground is zero wins from three starts, so tonight's slightly soft conditions represent a slight unknown after his recent struggles.
One of the more successful in the field (1 career wins)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.50 back.

How odds work
Back after 245 days off Won 4 of last 5
Why this score
  • A Chase Turf race works in this horse's favour. Horses often do best in one type of race and struggle in others.
  • A 6-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
  • Facing tougher rivals than last time. It is like moving up to a harder league. The step up is a challenge.
TrackLab Insight
The standout record in this field: wins roughly one race in every three attempts (36% career win rate), and recent form is explosive with four wins in his last six races. The 6-year-old has clearly found a new level and looks sharper than most rivals here, though a 245-day gap since his last outing at Bangor-On-Dee creates some uncertainty about that momentum. Brendan Powell has a strong partnership with him (38% win rate together), which adds another layer of confidence.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 3)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.00 back.

How odds work
Back after 290 days off Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • Today's race is over 3m 2f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
  • 6 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
  • Mrs C. Williams wins only 3.6% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Ten races raced without a win is a stubborn fact—this 6-year-old has finished in the top 3 just three times and carries the lowest rating in the field (10 pounds below average). He has never raced on slightly soft ground before, and his last three outings were all at Class 5 level before a Class 4 run 332 days ago, raising questions about whether he belongs at this standard. The partnership with Adam Wedge is untested (first time together), adding another layer of uncertainty.
Lowest rated, 10lbs below average Carries lowest weight in field Never raced on slightly soft ground
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.00 back.

How odds work
Back after 286 days off Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • A low win rate on this ground from 5 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
  • A 6-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
  • Has been off the track for 286 days. That is a long break. Some horses come back fresh. Others need a run to get fit again.
TrackLab Insight
The 9-year-old ended a long drought with a breakthrough win at Hexham back in December, but that victory came only once in nine races overall—this is not a natural front-runner. His record on soft ground is respectable (1 win from 3 starts, 33%), which suits tonight's conditions, but he pulled up last time at Catterick 246 days ago and shows only modest form at this level. The long absence before his December win and recent pull-up raise fitness concerns.
One of the more successful in the field (1 career wins)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.50 back.

How odds work
Wearing tongue strap Back after 698 days off Won 2 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • This is a 6-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
  • A 28.3% win rate at this course for P. Nicholls. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
  • Has not raced for 698 days. That is a long time away, and we cannot be sure the horse will be fit enough.
TrackLab Insight
Returning after a ten-month absence is a significant hurdle, and the 8-year-old pulled up last time at Newton Abbot 518 days ago. His record shows 3 wins from 11 races (27% win rate), but he has won 3 of 7 starts on fast ground and won nothing from 3 attempts on softer conditions—tonight's slightly soft ground plays against his strengths. Fitness and rhythm will be critical questions after such a long break.
Absent 518 days (longest in field)
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.

What these words mean

Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
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