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Newton Abbot

·
Wollens Full Spectrum Law Handicap Hurdle Race
Starts in
13h 7min
Jumps race · low hurdles · weighted to be fair Underrated horse: Calvino About 2.7 miles Slightly soft ground Mid-level race 7 runners £7,922 prize money E/W: also pays on 2nd, at 1/4 odds
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

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2 Real Quartz
H. Skelton · D. Skelton · 6yo · 11st 13lb · Official rating 127
£1 wins £1 · 42 Very strong chance
Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice
Freshness Form
42
Our top pick for this race
Very strong chance
Odds Evens
£1 wins £1 · 42 Very strong chance
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £2.00 back.

How odds work
✓ Horse record on this going ✓ Trainer wins at this course ✓ Trainer overall starts
Back after 319 days off Won 2 of last 5
Why this score
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • D. Skelton has a good 24.4% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
  • A 20.3% career win rate for H. Skelton. That is on the low side and could matter today.
TrackLab Insight
Perfect record—two wins from two races—but lightly raced and returning from a 106-day break after that last Class 3 victory at Doncaster in December. The market has confidence (11/8 favourite), though the gap since racing and limited experience at this level mean there's genuine unknowns about how he'll handle a step up in a competitive handicap field.
Lightly raced (2 career races) Market favourite (11/8)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.00 back.

How odds work
Has won at this course and distance Wearing tongue strap Back after 768 days off Won 2 of last 5 Won here 1 time
Why this score
  • This type of ground has not suited the horse: 4 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
  • P. Nicholls wins 22.7% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
  • Has not raced for 768 days. That is a long time away, and we cannot be sure the horse will be fit enough.
TrackLab Insight
The only course winner in this field and the only horse to have won at Newton Abbot over today's distance, but there's a massive question mark: he hasn't raced in 768 days (over 20 months) after a Class 2 win here in August 2024. His 30% career win rate is genuinely strong, yet he has zero wins from four starts on good-to-soft ground, which directly matches today's conditions and could prove decisive.
Only course winner (1 from 4 here) Only winner at this distance Has won over this course and distance Absent 768 days (longest in field)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.50 back.

How odds work
Back after 224 days off Won 3 of last 5 Likes this ground (wins 25% of runs)
Why this score
  • This is a 7-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
  • Today's race is over 2m 6½f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
  • The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.
TrackLab Insight
The most active horse in the field—raced just 11 days ago—and boasts the best win rate here at 38% (roughly 1 in 3). However, he's a dedicated course specialist at Hereford where he's unbeaten in three visits; Newton Abbot is entirely different territory and he comes here off the back of a 26-length defeat at Chepstow, making this a significant step into the unknown.
Best record on this ground (1 from 4) Best career win rate in field (1 in 3)
Underrated horse

We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.50 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Back after 244 days off Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • P. Nicholls wins 28.3% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.
TrackLab Insight
Underrated with a solid 25% win rate (roughly 1 in 4) and both victories at Taunton, his home track under trainer Paul Nicholls in nearby Ditcheat. The concern is his form: he pulled up at Fontwell 187 days ago and records are incomplete for his last two outings, making it hard to judge current condition, though his steady record suggests he remains competitive.
One of the more successful in the field (2 career wins)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £13.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing tongue strap Back after 225 days off Won 2 of last 5 Has won on this ground
Why this score
  • Wins 20% of the time on this type of ground. Some horses run much better on soft or firm ground. This one suits today's ground.
  • F. O'Brien wins 21.6% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
TrackLab Insight
Active recently (raced 12 days ago) with two wins from ten races, but his last two outings have been poor—eighth at Wetherby and then 18th at Ascot, both heavily beaten. That Class 4 win in January looks increasingly distant, and jumping from those recent heavy defeats into a handicap at this level is a tough ask.
One of the more successful in the field (2 career wins)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £12.00 back.

How odds work
Back after 241 days off Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • 7 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
  • Has raced 10 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
  • Mrs J. Williams has a 5.3% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
The field's most experienced (26 races) and carries the lowest weight, but has won only twice in his career—an 8% win rate that underscores he's a reliable midfielder rather than a winner. He excels on heavy ground (2 wins from 7 starts) but has zero wins on good-to-soft, good, or soft ground, which directly conflicts with today's slightly soft conditions.
Lowest rated, 11lbs below average Carries lowest weight in field Most experienced (26 runs, field avg 10)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £29.00 back.

How odds work
Back after 334 days off Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • This is a 7-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
  • Today's race is over 2m 6½f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
  • A 6.5% record at this course for R. Walford. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Only one career race—an eighth-place finish at Newbury four months ago—and has never raced on slightly soft ground, which makes this a genuine shot in the dark. The trainer's yard is in good form this season, but a horse with zero wins and no proven form at this level faces a mountain to climb in what is essentially a debut for the surface and conditions.
Never raced on slightly soft ground Lightly raced (1 career races)
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.

What these words mean

Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
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