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It's A Breeze

It took seven years and fourteen races, but It's A Breeze finally did what the name always promised — made it look easy. The horse crossed the line first at Newton Abbot just days ago on 13 July 2026, ending a wait that had tested everyone's patience. One win from fourteen races is a modest return on paper, a win rate of just 7%, or roughly 1 in every 14 outings. But context matters here, and Paul Nicholls — one of the most decorated trainers in the country, operating out of his famous yard in Ditcheat, Somerset — had been saying all along that this horse simply needed time.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
7 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Walk In The Park
Mother
Blodge
Owner
Mrs Helen Moger
Rating
91

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
14
Career races
1
Wins
7.1%
Win rate
avg ~10%
28.6%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🏁 Next Race

Tomorrow
Newton Abbot
About 2.6 miles · Mostly firm ground · 8 runners

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

Back in November 2025, Nicholls told anyone who would listen not to write the horse off based on its uninspiring early form. He described It's A Breeze as a "backward individual" who had been slow to develop — essentially a late bloomer who needed seasons rather than months to find himself. That kind of patience is a hallmark of a good yard, and Ditcheat has the numbers to back it up: 91 winners sent out this season alone, which is a remarkable operation running at full tilt.

What's particularly interesting is the trajectory of recent form. Strip away the blank results in the middle — races where It's A Breeze was out of the picture — and what you see at either end is a horse that has been finishing second, then winning. That is not the form of a horse going backwards. At the level It's A Breeze typically competes at, that kind of improvement can come quickly once a horse clicks, and Nicholls hinted as much, suggesting a short winning run was not out of the question.

Jockey Jay Tidball has been the regular partner, riding in five of the horse's races together without a win so far. The Newton Abbot victory may well change the dynamic between horse and rider as confidence builds on both sides. At seven years old, It's A Breeze is not a young horse, but some take longer to arrive — and arriving at all, after a journey this long, is the whole point. The next few weeks will be worth watching.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
Yet to win at Wincanton in 5 attempts
Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
1M6F – 2M
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Avoids
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, tight turns
Loves
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
Right-handed, hilly
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
13 Jul
🏆 Won
Newton Abbot
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Firm · 4 runners
3 Jun
4th
Newton Abbot
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 8 runners
27 May
DNF
Newton Abbot
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 7 runners
24 Apr
DNF
Fontwell Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 12 runners
1 Apr
6th
Wincanton
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 7 runners
5 Mar
2nd
Wincanton
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft
3 Feb
5th
Taunton
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 10 runners
17 Jan
8th
Taunton
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 14 runners
16 Dec
8th
Wincanton
1m6f – 2m · Soft · 13 runners
17 Nov
3rd
Plumpton
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 11 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Jay Tidball
0%
Win rate
0/5
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
Freddie Gingell Current Jockey
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Wincanton
Galloping
5 1 second, 1 third, 3 other 1 Apr 0%
Newton Abbot
Sharp
3 1 win, 2 other 13 Jul 33.3%
Taunton
Undulating
2 2 other 3 Feb 0%
Ffos Las
Galloping
1 1 other 16 Apr 0%
Plumpton
Sharp
1 1 third 17 Nov 0%
Exeter
Undulating
1 1 other 7 Mar 0%
Fontwell Park
Tight
1 1 other 24 Apr 0%