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It's A Breeze

It's A Breeze has found his groove in the last couple of months, picking up two wins from his last six races and showing real form at the level where he competes best. The seven-year-old, trained by Paul Nicholls at Ditcheat in Somerset, has won twice from seventeen starts overall — a modest record on paper, but the shape of his recent runs tells a more encouraging story. He has finished in the money in four of his last six outings, and after a slow start to his racing career, he appears to be hitting his stride.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
7 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Walk In The Park
Mother
Blodge
Owner
Mrs Helen Moger
Official rating
106

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
17
Career races
2
Wins
11.8%
Win rate
avg ~10%
41.2%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
30 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The horse is a genuine specialist at Newton Abbot, where he has won twice from six races. Both victories came this summer, most recently on 19 July, suggesting he has a real affinity for the track. What stands out most, though, is his preference for fast, dry ground — he has won both his races from just three attempts on those conditions, a win rate of roughly two in three. That is the sort of quirk that matters enormously in racing, because it tells you exactly when and where to expect him to run well. Trainer Paul Nicholls has noted that It's A Breeze was a backward individual who needed time to mature, and there are now clear signs that patience is paying off. With the horse positioned at the right level and finally showing consistency, Nicholls suggested earlier in the season that owners should not be surprised if he runs up a little winning sequence.

The horse struggles in Class 4 races, where he has yet to win from five attempts, which means his targets are better found at more modest grade. Jay Tidball, his regular jockey, has not yet found the winner's enclosure aboard him despite five rides, so there may be room for a change in the saddle to spark further improvement. Still, with a yard sending out ninety-one winners this season and a horse who clearly performs best on fast ground at Newton Abbot, It's A Breeze looks like one to follow when conditions suit.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 2 wins from 3 starts (67%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 6 starts
⚠ Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
⚠ Yet to win at Wincanton in 5 attempts
⚠ Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Loves
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Avoids
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
Long Distance (2M+)
1M6F – 2M
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Avoids
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, tight turns
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
Right-handed, hilly
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
18 Sep
3rd
Newton Abbot
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 3 runners
27 Aug
2nd
Newton Abbot
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Firm · 5 runners
19 Jul
🏆 Won
Newton Abbot
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
13 Jul
🏆 Won
Newton Abbot
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Firm · 4 runners
3 Jun
4th
Newton Abbot
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 8 runners
27 May
DNF
Newton Abbot
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 7 runners
24 Apr
DNF
Fontwell Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 12 runners
1 Apr
6th
Wincanton
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 7 runners
5 Mar
2nd
Wincanton
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft
3 Feb
5th
Taunton
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 10 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
Jay Tidball
0%
Win rate
0/5
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Paddy Hanlon(5) Current jockey
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Newton Abbot
Sharp
6 2 wins, 1 second, 1 third, 2 other 18 Sep 33.3%
Wincanton
Galloping
5 1 second, 1 third, 3 other 1 Apr 0%
Taunton
Undulating
2 2 other 3 Feb 0%
Plumpton
Sharp
1 1 third 17 Nov 0%
Exeter
Undulating
1 1 other 7 Mar 0%
Fontwell Park
Tight
1 1 other 24 Apr 0%
Ffos Las
Galloping
1 1 other 16 Apr 0%