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Newcastle

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Newcastle (AW)
Awaiting result
Flat race · no jumps Underrated horse: Esque Elegance +1 About 1 mile Unknown Grassroots race 9 runners
Tapeta surface
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

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Esque Elegance Underrated horse
L. Young · S. Hanlon · 4yo · 9st 9lb · Official rating 48
£1 wins £2.25 · 34 Strong chance
S. Hanlon's runners finish 75% of their races
Form Track
34
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 9/4
£1 wins £2.25 · 34 Strong chance
Underrated horse

We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.25 back.

How odds work
✓ Trainer form ✓ Last run finishing position ✓ Avg position (last 3 runs)
Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • S. Hanlon's runners finish 75% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • Finishing 2nd last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
  • A 6.7% record at this course for S. Hanlon. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.50 back.

How odds work
Wearing blinkers Back quickly after its last run Won 0 of last 5 Won here 1 time
Why this score
  • R. Carr's horses finish 30% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • Its average finish over the last three runs is 2.7. That is steady. Horses that finish near the front often do so again.
  • A 5.3% record at this course for J. Sullivan. Some jockeys just do not do well at some courses.
Underrated horse

We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.00 back.

How odds work
Jockey in form (2 wins in 14 days) Trainer in form Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • I. Jardine's horses finish their races 61.5% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • Came home 3rd last time out. A good recent run often carries over to the next race.
  • I. Jardine wins only 9.3% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £13.00 back.

How odds work
Has won at this course and distance Wearing cheekpieces Won 0 of last 5 Won here 2 times Won at this distance 3 times
Why this score
  • D. Thompson's runners finish 25% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • Finished 3rd in the last race, which is a good result. A good last run suggests the horse is in good shape.
  • 2 wins from 26 runs at this track. When a horse likes a course, it often runs well there again.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £12.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing blinkers Won 0 of last 5 Won here 2 times
Why this score
  • S. England's runners finish 45.5% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • Came home 3rd last time out. A good recent run often carries over to the next race.
  • A 4.6% career win rate for C. Hardie. That is on the low side and could matter today.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £13.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Won 0 of last 5 Won here 1 time
Why this score
  • L. Mullaney's runners finish 66.7% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • Its average finish over the last three runs is 5. That is steady. Horses that finish near the front often do so again.
  • 1 win from 5 runs at this track. When a horse likes a course, it often runs well there again.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £29.00 back.

How odds work
Has won at this course and distance Wearing visor Won 0 of last 5 Won here 3 times Won at this distance 3 times
Why this score
  • D. Thompson's horses finish their races 25% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • Has won 3 times over this distance. That is a good sign the race length suits the horse.
  • Has won 3 times at this course from 31 runs. A horse that has won here before may like the course.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £41.00 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • D. Thompson's runners finish 25% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • A. Mullen is riding well, with 2 winners from 4 recent rides. Good recent results are a good sign.
  • Has run 18 times at this track with no wins yet. Some horses do not take to some courses.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £67.00 back.

How odds work
Back after 216 days off Jockey in form (3 wins in 14 days) Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • The prize money suggests a competitive race that has attracted decent horses, and this one belongs among them.
  • Facing weaker rivals than last time out. When a horse drops to an easier race, it often finds things easier.
  • The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.

What these words mean

Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
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