Newcastle
·
Newcastle (AW)
Awaiting result
Tapeta surface
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Arishkas Dream
£1 wins £2 · 32 Strong chance
D. & Claire Kubler's horses finish their races 25% of the time
32
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 2/1
£1 wins £2 · 32 Strong chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- D. & Claire Kubler's horses finish their races 25% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- Has won over this distance 1 time. We know the horse can last this far, which removes one big question.
Tactical Blitz
Very underrated horse
£1 wins £3.33 · 27 Strong chance
A. Watson's runners finish 42.9% of their races
27
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.33 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A. Watson's runners finish 42.9% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- Came home 2nd last time out. A good recent run often carries over to the next race.
- Stall 10 is a worry. At some courses, some starting stalls are a big disadvantage.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- O. Sangster's horses finish their races 50% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- O. Sangster wins 30.8% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
- M. Paetel wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £10.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- B. Ellison's runners finish 50% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- Finished 3rd in the last race, which is a good result. A good last run suggests the horse is in good shape.
- A 9.9% career win rate for B. Ellison. That is below the top trainers.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £26.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- B. Smart's runners finish 50% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- The prize money suggests a competitive race that has attracted decent horses, and this one belongs among them.
- Starting from stall 11, which is not ideal. A bad starting stall can mean running extra ground or getting boxed in.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £26.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- S. Dixon's runners finish 20% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- 1 win at this race length. Distance matters. If it is too short, the horse cannot use its staying power. If it is too long, the horse gets tired.
- A 7% record at this course for S. Dixon. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £21.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- S. Dixon's horses finish their races 20% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- K. O'Neill wins 13.4% of their races at this course. Knowing the track is an advantage for any jockey.
- A 7% record at this course for S. Dixon. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £41.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- I. Jardine's horses finish 61.5% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- A. Mullen is riding well, with 2 winners from 4 recent rides. Good recent results are a good sign.
- Up against stronger rivals than before. Moving up to a harder race tests whether a horse is improving.
£1 wins £100 · 1 Long shot
The prize money suggests a competitive race that has attracted decent horses
1
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £101.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- The prize money suggests a competitive race that has attracted decent horses, and this one belongs among them.
- This is a Class 5 race (Class 1 is the highest), and it suits this horse well. The horse should be able to compete without being outclassed.
- The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £126.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A. Nicholls's horses finish 100% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- Has won at this distance 1 time before. A horse that has shown it can last the trip is a plus.
- A 5.2% record at this course for A. Nicholls. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £81.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- P. Neville's horses finish their races 75% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- The prize money suggests a competitive race that has attracted decent horses, and this one belongs among them.
- C. Hardie wins 4.6% of their races overall. That is below the average for professional jockeys.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.