Newcastle
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Newcastle (AW)
Awaiting result
Tapeta surface
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Lions House
£1 wins £5 · 17 Solid chance
L. Perratt's runners finish 33.3% of their races
17
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- L. Perratt's runners finish 33.3% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- Finished 3rd in the last race, which is a good result. A good last run suggests the horse is in good shape.
- Starting from stall 11, which is not ideal. A bad starting stall can mean running extra ground or getting boxed in.
Juan Les Pins
Underrated horse
£1 wins £7 · 15 Solid chance
M. Appleby's horses finish 41.2% of their races
15
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- M. Appleby's horses finish 41.2% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- Dropped to an easier race today. It is like being the big fish in a smaller pond. The lower standard should suit.
- 12 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- B. Smart's runners finish 50% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- Finished 2nd in the last race, which is a good result. A good last run suggests the horse is in good shape.
- 12 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £10.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- J. Candlish's runners finish 42.9% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- L. Edmunds wins 10.8% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- Starting from stall 12 does not help today. The starting position matters more than many people think.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- T. Davidson's horses finish 80% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- A 4yo+ race looks a good fit. Trainers who enter horses in the right races tend to have a plan.
- Has won 3 times at this course from 24 runs. A horse that has won here before may like the course.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £11.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- J. Goldie's horses finish 55.6% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- Finishing 2nd last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
- This is a 12-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £18.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- T. Easterby's horses finish 27.3% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- Has won 8 times over this distance. That is a good sign the race length suits the horse.
- An 8% record at this course for T. Easterby. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- R. Carr's horses finish their races 30% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- Came home 2nd last time out. A good recent run often carries over to the next race.
- This is a 12-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A. Brittain's runners finish 44.4% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- The prize money suggests a competitive race that has attracted decent horses, and this one belongs among them.
- C. Hardie wins 4.6% of their races overall. That is below the average for professional jockeys.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £16.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- T. Davidson's horses finish 80% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- Came home 1st last time out. A good recent run often carries over to the next race.
- A 4.8% career win rate for C. Horgan. That is on the low side and could matter today.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £41.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- I. Jardine's horses finish 61.5% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- Facing weaker rivals than last time out. When a horse drops to an easier race, it often finds things easier.
- This is a 12-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £29.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A. Brittain's horses finish their races 44.4% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- This is a 4yo+ race, and the horse fits the entry rules well. A horse that fits the rules often means the trainer picked the race on purpose.
- 3 wins from 27 runs at this track. When a horse likes a course, it often runs well there again.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.