Newcastle
·
Newcastle (AW)
Awaiting result
Tapeta surface
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Billecart
Very underrated horse
£1 wins 29p · 83 Very strong chance
K. R. Burke's horses finish 73.3% of their races
83
Our top pick for this race
Very strong chance
Odds 2/7
£1 wins 29p · 83 Very strong chance
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.29 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- K. R. Burke's horses finish 73.3% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- 4 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- A 3yo+ race is not ideal for this horse. The entry rules are a small disadvantage.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- R. Hannon's horses finish their races 52.6% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- This is a 4-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- The 3yo+ entry rules do not quite suit this horse. That does not rule it out, but it is not ideal.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £67.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- R. Fahey's horses finish their races 50% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- A 4-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- A 4.6% career win rate for C. Hardie. That is on the low side and could matter today.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £201.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- N. Tinkler's runners finish 0% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- 4 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- F. McManoman wins 5.8% of their races overall. That is below the average for professional jockeys.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.