Newcastle
·
Newcastle (AW)
Awaiting result
Tapeta surface
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 2/1
£1 wins £2 · 32 Strong chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A. Watson's horses finish 42.9% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- Racing against weaker rivals than last time. Think of a Premier League team playing in the Championship. The drop in level helps.
- Stall 12 is a worry. At some courses, some starting stalls are a big disadvantage.
Popty Ping
Underrated horse
£1 wins £7 · 14 Solid chance
D. O'Meara's horses finish their races 50% of the time
14
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- D. O'Meara's horses finish their races 50% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- Finished 2nd in the last race, which is a good result. A good last run suggests the horse is in good shape.
- D. O'Meara wins only 13.6% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
£1 wins £7 · 12 Solid chance
B. Ellison's horses finish their races 50% of the time
12
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- B. Ellison's horses finish their races 50% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- Finished 3rd in the last race, which is a good result. A good last run suggests the horse is in good shape.
- Stall 11 is a worry. At some courses, some starting stalls are a big disadvantage.
£1 wins £12 · 8 Could surprise
H. Palmer's horses finish their races 75% of the time
8
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £13.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- H. Palmer's horses finish their races 75% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- Finishing 3rd last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
- A 12-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £13.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- J. O'Keeffe's horses finish 25% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- Came home 2nd last time out. A good recent run often carries over to the next race.
- An 11.7% record at this course for J. O'Keeffe. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
£1 wins £14 · 7 Could surprise
D. & Nicola Barron's horses finish 75% of their races
7
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £15.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- D. & Nicola Barron's horses finish 75% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- Finishing 3rd last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
- D. & Nicola Barron wins only 7.9% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Ravens View
£1 wins £20 · 6 Could surprise
M. Dods's horses finish 80% of their races
6
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £21.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- M. Dods's horses finish 80% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- Dropped to an easier race today. It is like being the big fish in a smaller pond. The lower standard should suit.
- This is a 12-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £13.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- N. Tinkler's runners finish 0% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- Dropped to an easier race today. It is like being the big fish in a smaller pond. The lower standard should suit.
- N. Tinkler has a 9.6% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
£1 wins £28 · 2 Long shot
L. Russell & Michael Scudamore's horses finish their races 55.9% of the time
2
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £29.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- L. Russell & Michael Scudamore's horses finish their races 55.9% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- Finished 3rd in the last race, which is a good result. A good last run suggests the horse is in good shape.
- 12 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £51.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- G. Tutty's horses finish their races 100% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- The prize money suggests a competitive race that has attracted decent horses, and this one belongs among them.
- G. Tutty has a 7.5% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £34.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- S. Hanlon's horses finish their races 75% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- Has raced here 2 times without winning. This course has not suited the horse so far.
- S. Hanlon has a 6.7% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £151.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- R. Fahey's horses finish 50% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- The prize money suggests a competitive race that has attracted decent horses, and this one belongs among them.
- A 4.6% career win rate for C. Hardie. That is on the low side and could matter today.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.