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Newcastle

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Newcastle (AW)
Awaiting result
Flat race · weights set to make it fair Underrated horse: Talis Evolvere +1 About 7 furlongs Unknown Mid-level race 8 runners
Tapeta surface
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

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Nikovo
J. Hart · M. Herrington · 7yo · 9st 5lb · Official rating 91
£1 wins £2 · 32 Strong chance
M. Herrington's horses finish their races 71.4% of the time
C&D Freshness
32
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 2/1
£1 wins £2 · 32 Strong chance
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.00 back.

How odds work
✓ Trainer form ✓ Jockey starts at this course ✓ Field size
Has won at this course and distance Back quickly after its last run Jockey in form (6 wins in 14 days) Won 0 of last 5 Won here 3 times
Why this score
  • M. Herrington's horses finish their races 71.4% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • A 12.7% win rate at this course for J. Hart. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
  • A 5.9% record at this course for M. Herrington. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.50 back.

How odds work
Has won at this course and distance Wearing visor Jockey in form (4 wins in 14 days) Won 1 of last 5 Won here 2 times
Why this score
  • Good prize money on offer. When trainers aim at valuable races, they usually have faith in their runner.
  • Came home 1st last time out. A good recent run often carries over to the next race.
  • The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.
Underrated horse

We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.00 back.

How odds work
Won 1 of last 5 Won here 1 time Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • R. Hannon's runners finish 52.6% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • An 8-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
  • Starting from stall 8 does not help today. The starting position matters more than many people think.
Underrated horse

We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.00 back.

How odds work
Has won at this course and distance Back quickly after its last run Won 3 of last 5 Won here 7 times Won at this distance 5 times
Why this score
  • A. Paul Keatley's runners finish 20% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • 8 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
  • Has not finished well in the last few races. Finishing in the middle or further back so often counts against the horse.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.00 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5 Won here 1 time Won at this distance 2 times
Why this score
  • G. Harker's horses finish their races 0% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • 8 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
  • Has won 1 time at this course from 2 runs. A horse that has won here before may like the course.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £16.00 back.

How odds work
Has won at this course and distance Won 1 of last 5 Won here 5 times Won at this distance 4 times
Why this score
  • R. Fell's horses finish 57.1% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • This is an 8-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
  • R. Fell wins only 5.9% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £81.00 back.

How odds work
Back after 142 days off Jockey in form (2 wins in 14 days) Trainer in form Won 0 of last 5 Won at this distance 3 times
Why this score
  • D. & Nicola Barron's horses finish their races 75% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • An 8-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
  • Only 14th last time out. That is not what we want to see before today's race.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £126.00 back.

How odds work
Trainer in form Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • B. Haslam's horses finish their races 66.7% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • A. Mullen has a good 8.3% record here. Knowing the course is one of a jockey's biggest strengths.
  • Only 9th last time out. That is not what we want to see before today's race.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.

What these words mean

Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
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