Listowel

Has actually won on soft ground before, which puts it in a smaller group than you might expect in this field, and the 7-furlong trip is squarely in its comfort zone. But a 10th and a 13th in its last two runs, beaten well over 13 lengths each time, make it hard to see where a winning run comes from.

Won last time out at Leopardstown and has finished in the top three in three races on the spin — the best recent form run in the field. The major unknown is that this horse has never raced on wet ground before, so nobody knows how it will handle today's conditions.

Has never raced on soft ground before, which is a significant unknown heading into today, and comes back after nearly six months off the track. Seven runs on wet or slow surfaces for other horses in this field have shown how punishing these conditions can be for the unprepared.

Carries the lowest weight in the field, which is a built-in advantage in a race like this, but it is also the lowest-rated horse by some margin — 12 points below the field average. Six straight runs without threatening the frame, and a return from a three-month break, make this a difficult case to argue.

Away from the track for over a year — the longest absence in the field — and facing wet ground where it has never won in nine attempts. That combination is hard to excuse, and six runs without a top-two finish makes this one to watch rather than back.

The standout course specialist in the race, with 2 wins from just 4 previous visits here at Listowel — a record no other runner can match. However, it was beaten over 32 lengths last time out, and it has never won on soft ground in 10 tries, which is a serious concern given today's conditions.

The least experienced horse in the field with just 12 races, and a 12th-place finish last time out at Sligo doesn't inspire confidence. The trainer and jockey have yet to win together in five attempts, and this horse has no record at all on today's wet ground to draw on.

Three consecutive finishes in the top three going into today, which is the kind of consistent near-miss form that suggests a horse building towards a win. The jockey-trainer partnership of Colin Keane and M D O'Callaghan wins roughly 1 in 4 races together — though soft ground has never produced a win in three attempts.

Has won over this exact course and distance at Listowel, which at least gives it a foothold in the race that most rivals lack. The worry is steep: beaten over 100 lengths last time out, off for six months, and no wins on wet ground in seven attempts.

The best career win rate in the field at roughly 1 in 6, but the last two runs were both heavy defeats and this horse hasn't raced for over three months. Its one win on today's wet ground came from five attempts, so conditions aren't a strong suit despite holding the best record on it here.

The most inexperienced runner in the field with just five races, and the record from those reads zero wins and zero places — finishing as low as 16th at Navan. Returning from a seven-month absence into an 18-runner race on soft ground, there is very little in the data to suggest a step forward here.

At odds of 51.0, this is the outsider of the field, and six consecutive runs without finishing in the top 10 make that price hard to argue with. The one positive is that it has won on soft ground before — 1 from 6 on this surface — but at nine years old and out of form, that feels like a distant memory.

Has the best record in the field over today's 7-furlong trip, winning twice from 11 races at this distance. The concern is a run of form that reads four 13s and 14s before a better fourth last time — today's wet ground is also an unknown, with no wins recorded on any soft surface.