Four years into his training career, P J F Murphy has built a steady operation since setting up in 2021, sending out 29 winners in total — an honest foundation for a yard still finding its feet. This season, however, has been a tough one. Four winners from 109 runners means he's winning roughly 1 in every 27 races, a 4% win rate that represents a step back from last year's 6%. It's a modest return for the number of times his horses have been saddled up, and it tells the story of a trainer who is getting runners out on the track consistently but hasn't quite cracked the puzzle of turning those chances into victories.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Our model's view, based on this trainer's record and recent runs
TrackLab's trainer breakdown
The numbers around his key partnerships raise a few eyebrows. His most-used jockey this season is Luke McAteer, but their 19 races together haven't produced a single winner — a run of results that will test any trainer-jockey relationship. Similarly, Moonhall Lass has run six times for the yard without visiting the winner's enclosure. Six races is enough to suggest a pattern rather than bad luck, and at some point the team will need to reassess what it takes to get that horse to perform.
There is one sliver of encouragement buried in the data. On slightly soft ground — when there's a bit of moisture in the surface — Murphy's runners win at 8%, landing 1 from 13. That's roughly double his overall rate, and while the sample is small, it's the kind of detail worth noting. If Murphy can identify which horses in his yard thrive when conditions are on the softer side, targeting those conditions more deliberately could help stop the slide and get his win rate moving in the right direction again.
📈 Form trend
How this trainer's win rate has changed month by month
Monthly win rate
2025–2026
0%
Apr
8.3%
May
0%
Jun
0%
Jul
28.6%
Aug
0%
Sep
0%
Oct
0%
Nov
0%
Dec
16.7%
Jan
0%
Feb
0%
Mar
🎯 Where this trainer does best
Results split by ground, race level and track shape