Leicester
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British EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (Bands B, C & D) (EBF Qualifier) (GBB/IRE Incentive) (Div I)
Starts in
7h 31min
Turf track
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite at 4.5, and the only horse in the field with experience on this type of slightly soft, damp ground — except he has never actually raced on it before, which is a genuine unknown. His two races so far have produced a fourth and a third, which shows he is running into form, and jockey Silvestre De Sousa is the busiest and most in-form rider in this race right now. The concern is that two near-misses without a win is a thin foundation to be going off favourite in a field this open.
Never raced on slightly soft ground
Lightly raced (2 career races)
Jockey in best form (3 from 12 last 2wk)
Market favourite (4.5)
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TrackLab Insight
No form to go on as a debutant, but trainer Richard Hannon is the standout in this race by some margin — six winners from 18 runners in the last two weeks is a remarkable hit rate, and he is clearly in excellent form. The jockey and trainer combination has clicked 43 times from 412 races together, showing a well-worn partnership. At 5.5, the market rates this one of the better chances despite the inexperience.
Racecourse debut
Trainer in best form (6 from 18 last 2wk)
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TrackLab Insight
One of six horses in this field making their very first appearance on a racecourse, so there is nothing in the form book to go on. What stands out is the market — this horse was a near-certainty in early trading before drifting sharply to around 4.6, suggesting something has dampened confidence since. Draw 1 is the best in the field on this track at this distance, where low-drawn horses win nearly twice as often as those drawn high.
Racecourse debut
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TrackLab Insight
A debutant with no form to go on, but drawn in stall 10 — the highest draw in the field, and data from this course shows high-drawn horses win just 5% of the time at this distance, the worst of any draw group. On top of that, neither the jockey nor the trainer has won in the last two weeks, and this is their first time working together. There are too many question marks here for a horse making its first appearance.
Racecourse debut
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TrackLab Insight
The only horse in the field, and the fact that she is taking on colts throughout makes this a tougher test than most debutants face. Trainer James Fanshawe and jockey Daniel Muscutt have combined for 89 wins from 556 races together, which is a genuine partnership with a proven track record. At 9.0 on debut, the market is neither dismissing her nor backing her strongly — a horse to watch with interest.
Racecourse debut
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Good Value
TrackLab Insight
The most recent run, just nine days ago at Ffos Las, produced a fourth-place finish beaten just over two lengths — the closest any horse in this field with prior experience has come to winning. That narrow defeat suggests ability is there, even if a tenth-place finish in the run before clouds the picture. Drawn in stall 7, the mid-draw range here wins around 10% of the time, which is modest but not a dealbreaker for a horse showing signs of improvement.
Lightly raced (2 career races)
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TrackLab Insight
A complete unknown making their racecourse debut, and at odds of 17.0 the market has little faith this first run will produce a win. The jockey and trainer combination has gone 0 from 11 races together, which is the worst record of any partnership in this field. With no form to assess and limited confidence from the betting, this looks one to watch for another day.
Racecourse debut
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TrackLab Insight
Another racecourse debutant with nothing in the form book, but the breeding is notable — father Palace Pier was one of the best milers in Britain and France in recent years. The trainer and jockey have combined for 15 wins from 113 races together, which is a solid working relationship even if neither is firing in top form right now. At 29.0, the market is not expecting much, but first-time runners from quality bloodlines can always surprise.
Racecourse debut
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TrackLab Insight
Two races run and the best finish so far is fifth, beaten nearly ten lengths last time out at Beverley — there is no standout form to build a case around. This horse has never raced on slightly soft ground, adding another layer of uncertainty, and the trainer has not had a winner in the last two weeks. With a new jockey in the saddle for the first time, this feels like a horse still working things out.
Never raced on slightly soft ground
Lightly raced (2 career races)
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£5
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How do odds work?
The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.
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