Leicester

The most consistent horse in the field on paper — two races, two third-place finishes — but consistency without a win means it keeps getting beaten when the pressure is on. It carries a slight weight advantage over some rivals and has the most in-form jockey in the field, Silvestre De Sousa, who has won 3 from 12 rides in the past two weeks. Today's slightly soft ground is new to it, but its placed form at Nottingham and Newmarket shows it can handle decent company.

Another first-time racer, but this one comes with the most compelling trainer form in the field — Richard Hannon has won 6 from 18 races in the past two weeks, the best recent record of any trainer here. Vegas Lights is also the only horse in the race that is not a colt, carrying the lowest weight in the field as a result, which can be a small but genuine advantage over seven furlongs. No form to assess, but the support team is in the best shape of anyone lining up today.

Two races in and its form has actually improved — fourth at Bath, then third at Windsor — which suggests a horse that is learning with each outing. It has never raced on slightly soft ground, but the improving trajectory makes it one of the more interesting contenders among the horses with experience. Jockey Jack Mitchell has won 3 from 9 rides in the past two weeks, making this one of the better-jockeyed runners in the race today.

Finished sixth on its only outing at Southwell three weeks ago, which is the least encouraging recent result among the horses with prior experience. Today's slightly wet ground is also uncharted territory for this horse. It has a low draw in a field where draws 1-6 historically perform best at this course and distance, which is one small thing working in its favour.