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Kempton

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Handicap Stakes
Starts in
29h 20min
Flat race · weights set to make it fair About 7 furlongs Slightly slow all-weather Standard race 14 runners £6,281 prize money
Polytrack surface
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

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Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.13 back.

How odds work
Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • Finished 2nd in the last race, which is a good result. A good last run suggests the horse is in good shape.
  • A 14-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • A low win rate on this ground from 3 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
  • Racing against weaker rivals than last time. Think of a Premier League team playing in the Championship. The drop in level helps.
  • 14 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.

How odds work
Has won at this course and distance Wearing cheekpieces Won 0 of last 5 Won here 4 times Likes this ground (wins 31% of runs)
Why this score
  • L. Edmunds wins 14.4% of their races at this course. Knowing the track is an advantage for any jockey.
  • R. Millman has won 9.6% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
  • R. Millman has a 2.9% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.

How odds work
Wearing tongue strap Won 2 of last 5 Won here 2 times
Why this score
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • O. Cole wins 10.9% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
  • This is a 14-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.

How odds work
Has won at this course and distance Back after 75 days off Won 1 of last 5 Won here 2 times Likes this ground (wins 67% of runs)
Why this score
  • Racing against weaker rivals than last time. Think of a Premier League team playing in the Championship. The drop in level helps.
  • With a 9.1% win rate overall, K. Fox is one of the more dependable riders.
  • M. Attwater wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.

How odds work
Dropping to an easier race Wearing hood Back after 81 days off Won 0 of last 5 Won at this distance 2 times
Why this score
  • Facing weaker rivals than last time out. When a horse drops to an easier race, it often finds things easier.
  • There is £6,281 in prize money in this race. That attracts good horses, and this one looks to belong among them.
  • 14 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.

How odds work
Wearing tongue strap Back quickly after its last run Won 0 of last 5 Won here 1 time Likes this ground (wins 33% of runs)
Why this score
  • This horse runs well on today's ground, with a 33% win rate from 3 runs. The ground makes a big difference in racing.
  • E. Greatrex has won 12.4% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
  • A 10.9% record at this course for E. Greatrex. Some jockeys just do not do well at some courses.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.13 back.

How odds work
Won 1 of last 5 Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • With an 11.0% win rate overall, R. Dawson is one of the more dependable riders.
  • Has won at this distance 1 time before. A horse that has shown it can last the trip is a plus.
  • 14 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.

How odds work
Won 2 of last 5 Won here 1 time
Why this score
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • D. Egan wins 12.5% of their races at this course. Knowing the track is an advantage for any jockey.
  • C. Hills has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.13 back.

How odds work
Back after 61 days off Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • A 12.2% win rate at this course for D. Muscutt. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
  • This is a 14-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.

How odds work
Back after 200 days off Won 3 of last 5 Won here 2 times Likes this ground (wins 29% of runs) Won at this distance 5 times
Why this score
  • W. Carson has won 8.0% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
  • Has been off the track for 200 days. That is a long break. Some horses come back fresh. Others need a run to get fit again.
  • A 6.6% record at this course for T. Carroll. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.

How odds work
Wearing tongue strap Won 1 of last 5
Why this score
  • A 19.7% overall win rate for W. Haggas. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
  • Has not won at this distance before. We do not know if the race length suits the horse.
  • 14 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5 Won here 2 times Has won on this ground
Why this score
  • With an 8.6% win rate overall, P. Bradley is one of the more dependable riders.
  • With £6,281 in prize money, this is a competitive race. The horse has been entered for a reason.
  • S. Dow has a 4.3% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.13 back.

How odds work
Wearing visor Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • Has raced 4 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
  • Facing weaker rivals than last time out. When a horse drops to an easier race, it often finds things easier.
  • I. Chalmers wins 4.8% of their races overall. That is below the average for professional jockeys.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.

What these words mean

Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
More at Kempton tomorrow ?