Kempton
·
Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)
Starts in
29h 50min
Polytrack surface
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.13 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This is a 9-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- W. Carson has won 8.0% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- An 8.3% career win rate for R. Stephens. That is below the top trainers.
£1 wins 11p · 11 Could surprise
E. Greatrex has won 12.4% of their races in their career
11
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- E. Greatrex has won 12.4% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- W. Greatrex wins 14.3% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- This trainer's horses often do not finish their races. That makes them harder to trust.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- P. Chamings wins 8.7% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- This is a 9-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- P. Chamings has a 2.2% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 19.7% overall win rate for W. Haggas. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- A 15.5% overall win rate for R. Ryan. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- Came 9th in the last race. It might have been an off day, or the horse may be losing form.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 50% win rate at this course for D. Hitchins. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- This is a 9-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- The official rating suggests this horse has work to do. Lower-rated horses need to improve to win.
£1 wins 13p · 11 Could surprise
M. Loughnane has won 7.6% of their races in their career
11
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.13 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- M. Loughnane has won 7.6% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- This is a 9-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- M. Loughnane wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.13 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A. Balding wins 14.4% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- O. Murphy wins 18.4% of their races at this course. Knowing the track is an advantage for any jockey.
- A 7.7% record at this course for A. Balding. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 10.3% overall win rate for L. Edmunds. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- H. Charlton wins 14.6% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- Finished 13th last time, which was a disappointing run. A poor last run raises questions about the horse's current form.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- D. Egan wins 11.7% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- D. Egan wins 12.5% of their races at this course. Knowing the track is an advantage for any jockey.
- A filly is slightly against the trend. Past results show a small bias that does not favour this horse today.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.