Kempton
·
Handicap Stakes
Starts in
31h 20min
Polytrack surface
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Facing weaker rivals than last time out. When a horse drops to an easier race, it often finds things easier.
- A 10.1% overall win rate for T. Queally. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- J. & Suzi Best has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- No wins at this distance yet. We cannot tell if the race is too long, too short or just right.
- Dropped to an easier race today. It is like being the big fish in a smaller pond. The lower standard should suit.
- D. Ivory wins only 6.5% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.13 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Dropped to an easier race today. It is like being the big fish in a smaller pond. The lower standard should suit.
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- R. Phillips wins only 4.7% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.13 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Dropped to an easier race today. It is like being the big fish in a smaller pond. The lower standard should suit.
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- A 4.3% record at this course for S. Dow. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
£1 wins 11p · 8 Could surprise
Handles this ground well, with 20% of its races won on it
8
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Handles this ground well, with 20% of its races won on it. The ground can change a horse's chances a lot.
- Racing against weaker rivals than last time. Think of a Premier League team playing in the Championship. The drop in level helps.
- P. Chamings has a 2.2% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Dropped to an easier race today. It is like being the big fish in a smaller pond. The lower standard should suit.
- R. Ryan has won 15.5% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- This is a 12-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.13 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 12.2% win rate at this course for D. Muscutt. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
- D. Muscutt has won 11.9% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- An 18.2% record at this course for J. Fanshawe. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.13 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- C. Hills has won 12.9% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- A 12.9% overall win rate for C. Hills. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- C. Hills wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has yet to win over this distance. It is like asking a sprinter to run a marathon. Distance matters, and this horse has not shown it can win here.
- 1 run here without a win. That counts against the horse. The track layout may not suit it.
- Finished 13th last time, which was a disappointing run. A poor last run raises questions about the horse's current form.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.13 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 7.0% win rate at this course for W. Carson. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
- With an 8.0% win rate overall, W. Carson is one of the more dependable riders.
- T. Carroll wins only 6.6% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 6.5% win rate at this course for C. Bishop. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
- C. Gordon wins 12.3% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- C. Gordon has a 5.8% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Dropped to an easier race today. It is like being the big fish in a smaller pond. The lower standard should suit.
- A 9.3% win rate at this course for L. Morris. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
- A 0% record at this course for M. Attwater. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.