Kempton
·
Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
Starts in
27h 45min
Polytrack surface
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 14.4% overall win rate for A. Balding. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- O. Murphy wins 18.4% of their races at this course. Knowing the track is an advantage for any jockey.
- A. Balding wins only 7.7% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.13 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- J. Haynes wins 7.2% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- There is £5,400 in prize money in this race. That attracts good horses, and this one looks to belong among them.
- K. Jewell has a 4.2% overall win rate, which is on the low side. That may mean the horse is not at its best.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- D. Muscutt wins 11.9% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- This is a 9-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- Finished 8th last time, which was a disappointing run. A poor last run raises questions about the horse's current form.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- S. bin Suroor wins 21.7% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- A 31% win rate at this course for S. bin Suroor. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- Not rated highly by the official rater. The rating reflects what the horse has done so far, and it is modest.
11
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- K. Fox has won 9.1% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- A 6.7% overall win rate for M. Attwater. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- A 0% record at this course for M. Attwater. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.13 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- An 11.8% overall win rate for K. Shoemark. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- H. Palmer has won 14.4% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- H. Palmer wins only 15.1% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- W. Carson wins 8.0% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- A 9-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- Came 9th in the last race. It might have been an off day, or the horse may be losing form.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.13 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- An 11.3% overall win rate for R. Havlin. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- A. Perrett wins 11.3% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- A. Perrett has a 15.6% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
9
Anncanya
£1 wins 11p · 11 Could surprise
P. Chapple-Hyam has won 14.7% of their races in their career
11
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- P. Chapple-Hyam has won 14.7% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- A 19.2% win rate at this course for P. Chapple-Hyam. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- A 5.5% record at this course for C. Hutchinson. Some jockeys just do not do well at some courses.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.