Kelso
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Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier)
Starts in
14h 26min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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27
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 2/1
£1 wins £2 · 27 Strong chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- D. Skelton wins 21.9% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
- D. Skelton wins 18.7% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite at 15/8, this four-year-old has won two of his last six races including a victory at Stratford just seven days ago, and has three straight top-3 finishes. The immediate back-up is a risk, but he has the best record on normal ground in the field (1 win from 4 starts) and the trainer-jockey combination is strong (18 wins from 87 races together).
Best record on this ground (1 from 4)
3 straight top-3 finishes
Runs again after just 7 days
Market favourite (15/8)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- An experienced horse with 49 career runs. Experienced horses tend to be steadier and less likely to run badly.
- 8 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- G. Walkingshaw wins 4.5% of their races overall. That is below the average for professional jockeys.
TrackLab Insight
An honest eight-year-old with seven wins from 49 races (14% win rate) who has shown he can handle this trip—winning once from seven attempts at 2m—but recent form has been patchy, including a 24-length defeat at Ayr just 36 days ago. His strength comes on soft or heavy ground, and he's a Kelso raider, but normal ground is more neutral territory for him.
Best record at this trip (1 from 7)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- An 8-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- A 22% win rate on this ground from 18 runs. Just like people, horses have favourite surfaces. This one likes today's ground.
- Facing tougher rivals than last time. It is like moving up to a harder league. The step up is a challenge.
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field at ten years old with the best career win rate (15%, winning roughly once every 7 races) and marked as underrated by our model. He's won twice in his last six races and ran fourth at Kelso just 38 days ago, showing he still retains his edge, though a 38-day layoff means ring rust is possible.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 7)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- An 8-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- A low win rate on this ground from 17 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- 3 wins from 15 runs at this track. When a horse likes a course, it often runs well there again.
TrackLab Insight
One of only two course winners in the field with 3 wins from 15 races at Kelso (20% win rate)—significantly above his 14% career average—and he ran third here just 20 days ago. Marked as underrated by our model, but he's yet to win on soft ground and struggles on tight left-handed tracks, which limits his versatility.
One of few course winners (3 wins here)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 4 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- This is an 8-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- This trainer's horses often do not finish their races. That makes them harder to trust.
TrackLab Insight
Won convincingly at Newcastle 207 days ago but has managed only one top-3 finish since, and an eighth-place finish at Kelso 153 days back is a concern at the track. He's genuinely sharp on good-to-soft ground (1 win from 3 starts) but has never won on soft or good ground, and the 153-day absence means he's had a lengthy spell away.
Mid-range in the market (8/1)
10
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- 8 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- Has raced 16 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- Last raced 17 days ago. That is a normal gap between runs.
TrackLab Insight
Lowest rated in the field at 92 and carrying the lightest weight, but that reflects a grim record: just one win from 35 races (3% win rate) across nearly three years. He's been competing consistently at Sedgefield recently but hasn't found another winner since January 2024, making him a horse trying hard but rarely delivering.
Lowest rated, 9lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £11.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- An 8-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- A 9.4% overall win rate for M. Hammond. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- Came 7th in the last race. It might have been an off day, or the horse may be losing form.
TrackLab Insight
Top-rated horse in the field by 3lbs, but the market has drifted dramatically from 1/6 to 14/1—a major shift that reflects concern about his 168-day absence, the longest layoff in the race. He's never won in 8 attempts and has never raced on normal ground, making this a significant step into the unknown despite his high rating.
Top rated by 3lbs
Never raced on normal ground
Absent 168 days (longest in field)
Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £21.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- An 8-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- An official rating of 100 is in this horse's favour. The rating comes from results, and this horse's number looks good.
- A 2.7% record at this course for A. Hamilton. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
A 20/1 outsider with limited credentials—just one win from 12 races and a pulled-up finish at Wexford 94 days ago—who is struggling to find consistent form. Recent runs have been poor, and there's little in his profile to suggest he can trouble the principals in this field.
Outsider at 20/1
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.