Kelso
·
Myles Mcnulty You'Re Never Sixty Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North One Man Series Qualifier)
Starts in
13h 58min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 5/2
£1 wins £2.50 · 29 Strong chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 6-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- This trainer's horses often do not finish their races. That makes them harder to trust.
TrackLab Insight
The only course winner in this field and the top-rated horse by 3lbs, Ballyfort has won over Kelso at this exact distance and arrives in excellent form with back-to-back second-place finishes. A long absence (190 days) is the main concern, though his record here—1 win from 7 races—proves he handles the track and his 16% career win rate is solid for a handicap field.
Top rated by 3lbs
Only course winner (1 from 7 here)
Has won over this course and distance
Best record at this trip (1 from 4)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.75 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 6-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- Has not won at this distance before. We do not know if the race length suits the horse.
- The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.
TrackLab Insight
The standout form in this field—Achille des Rocs wins roughly 1 in 4 races, the highest ratio among all six runners—and just landed a win at Cartmel 54 days ago before finishing 8 lengths second at Hexham last time. Still, with only 11 career races, this horse carries the least experience in the field and has no previous record at Kelso to draw on.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 4)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 7 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- 6 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Treaty Boy is the lowest-rated runner and carries the lowest weight (147lbs, 14lbs below average), but his 9% win rate and recent form of three fourth-place finishes in his last four races suggest he is here to fill the grid rather than trouble the winners. He has never won on good ground and struggles on Kelso's left-handed undulating track shape.
Lowest rated, 13lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 6-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- An experienced horse with 39 career runs. Experienced horses tend to be steadier and less likely to run badly.
- Being a gelding is a small worry. Past results suggest this race slightly favours a different type of horse.
TrackLab Insight
A 10-year-old workhorse with a dire record at Kelso (0 wins from 6 attempts) and an even worse record on anything softer than good ground, Garde des Champs has also never won on left-handed undulating or galloping tracks—descriptions that apply here. His two career wins came on good ground, yet this is a normal ground race at a left-handed track where his data suggests he simply cannot win.
Top-3 finishes in 2 of last 3 races
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £11.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 6-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- R. Mania wins 16.3% of their races at this course. Knowing the track is an advantage for any jockey.
- J. Stephen wins only 5.2% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Marked as underrated by the model, Too Cool Forshrule has a 20% win rate across 20 races and boasts the best record on normal ground in this field (2 wins from 6 starts).
Best record on this ground (2 from 6)
Absent 194 days (longest in field)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £15.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 6-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- This horse is suited to this Chase Turf race. A horse in its best type of race can just focus on running.
- L. Noreci wins 4.8% of their races overall. That is below the average for professional jockeys.
TrackLab Insight
Got Grey has won just three times in 31 races and landed two heavy defeats in its last two outings, finishing 55+ lengths and 26 lengths back respectively. The horse struggles on soft ground and tight left-handed tracks—both characteristics of Kelso—making it a difficult puzzle to solve at this venue.
2nd highest rated (OR 102)
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.